Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd7a9a6a2fa6738595b6374fd417ad0381a9c57e0f58a2f39c025d34ef27813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x028e…c937backed No | 75c | 10,948$8,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,251.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 24c | 10,003$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,582.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 29c | 8,169$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.58 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 23c | 7,272$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580.64 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 70c | 3,371$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 74c | 2,565$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.69 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 26c | 2,526$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.13 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 73c | 2,439$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.62 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…689cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,254$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +233.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 19c | 1,800$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.98 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 33c | 1,265$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.07 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,201$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 21c | 1,129$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.38 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 1,086$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.91 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed Yes | 25c | 1,055$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d0…4843backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…098abacked Yes | 19c | 946.34$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 30c | 943.04$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.46 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 29c | 785.22$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.52 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 4c | 721.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.34 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +1,104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 31c | 644.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 25c | 640.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 67 | 7.5%5 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 32c | 633$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…08a1backed Yes | 30c | 628.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…5baebacked Yes | 18c | 562.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +462.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 29c | 525$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.75 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 13c | 474$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 76c | 473.59$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 68c | 458.94$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.21 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 17c | 455.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.71 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 74c | 444$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 71c | 407.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 18c | 403.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.14 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 66c | 349.55$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 25c | 335$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 76c | 283.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 20c | 280.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc99b…45dabacked Yes | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 32c | 260$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…634fbacked Yes | 27c | 250$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 219$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.24 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…6808backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…af12backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 27c | 198$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 13c | 190$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 169.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…0454backed Yes | 38c | 107$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…2a82backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed Yes | 18c | 97.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +444.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 17c | 85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…1d28backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked No | 78c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…95dabacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…30a5backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…2754backed Yes | 33c | 60.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…994dbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…31a7backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…c28abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…fbc5backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…f9d6backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…fc4abacked Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…40cabacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…bf19backed Yes | 30c | 39.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 36.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…96b4backed No | 77c | 32.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 74c | 23.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…2220backed No | 70c | 23.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?this page
- Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?No won
- Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in August?No won
- Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No won
- Will the US add more than 200k jobs in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.