NFL · resolved market
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x972fc92cc67843040e0ead65c53b508374339525f32a311691d67020a9009866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $627,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $627,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 211,999$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…9402backed Yes | 13c | 77,000$10,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,010 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…d0d5backed Yes | 12c | 71,244$8,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 10c | 6,589$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.7 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 38c | 2,710$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.42 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,467$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 7c | 2,317$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 12c | 2,117$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,052$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.41 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…1509backed Yes | 5c | 1,966$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…78e9backed Yes | 50c | 1,900$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…88a9backed Yes | 50c | 1,900$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,323$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…d88cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,306$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +155%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 18c | 1,184$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.28 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 3c | 1,101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe023…5871backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6e59backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…015ebacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…9e32backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c7…f049backed Yes | 45c | 968$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff0…d216backed Yes | 45c | 968$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…1384backed No | 55c | 968$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4d…64dbbacked No | 55c | 968$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…bce5backed Yes | 56c | 953$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…632cbacked No | 46c | 953$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…d891backed No | 44c | 953$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e5…80d0backed Yes | 54c | 953$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75e…a861backed No | 52c | 950$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6a…e1fbbacked No | 49c | 950$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2773…66c9backed No | 49c | 950$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…f991backed No | 52c | 950$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 858.44$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 797.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 4c | 667.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 60c | 664.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 54c | 562.58$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.24 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…7a58backed No | 41c | 452.38$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 384.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 80c | 383.36$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 57c | 373.61$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 12c | 370$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…a67abacked Yes | 50c | 358.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 9c | 334.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 48c | 254.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 15c | 220$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…dd01backed No | 49c | 208.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 50c | 171.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf863…82ccbacked Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…a1bfbacked Yes | 51c | 117.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…87a7backed No | 42c | 116.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 40c | 107.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 19c | 106.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 42c | 104.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed No | 49c | 101.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…6a27backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…484abacked No | 48c | 97.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 96.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 315 | 40%126 W · 189 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…f335backed Yes | 43c | 95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…9da8backed No | 48c | 84.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 51c | 83.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…c893backed Yes | 56c | 82.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…6b61backed Yes | 54c | 81.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb679…dcd1backed Yes | 54c | 79.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…7b51backed No | 47c | 79.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…e0acbacked Yes | 45c | 78.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…2905backed No | 48c | 73.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…2eecbacked Yes | 61c | 70.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…8124backed No | 48c | 68.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…74d8backed Yes | 53c | 67.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 39c | 66.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…967ebacked No | 48c | 64.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…a130backed No | 47c | 64.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bf…1ef5backed No | 48c | 64.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…4953backed No | 45c | 63.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…f1cabacked Yes | 61c | 62.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0334…cd75backed Yes | 56c | 61.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c498backed No | 46c | 61.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…3ffabacked Yes | 53c | 61.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…2e6ebacked No | 41c | 59.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa671…1e55backed Yes | 62c | 58.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe747…e137backed Yes | 57c | 57.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d6…5f0abacked Yes | 53c | 56.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…330fbacked Yes | 54c | 55.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2830…f7a6backed Yes | 62c | 54.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e6…12fbbacked No | 46c | 51.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 21c | 50.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…cb36backed No | 47c | 49.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?this page
- Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes won
- Will Jalen Milroe be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Jaxson Dart be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Kelvin Banks Jr. be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Mason Graham be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Mykel Williams be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Will Campbell be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.