NFL · resolved market
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a468179b9715012e6223feb73055a12bb58f58151cd8749e82e538fd4a4fe87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54e1…51b4backed No | 48c | 125,120$60,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,057.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…d939backed Yes | 52c | 125,120$65,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,057.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 42c | 5,040$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.28 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 7c | 3,045$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 39c | 2,615$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.66 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,464$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.12 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 16c | 2,000$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.08 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,990$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.97 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 9c | 1,854$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,758$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 77c | 1,737$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.41 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 47c | 1,693$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.26 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked No | 1c | 1,590$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 36c | 1,570$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.17 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 15c | 1,383$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 23c | 1,294$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.76 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.48 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a4…e647backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…8b51backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…e6b8backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…d37ebacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed No | 2c | 999.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 16c | 933.78$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 74c | 910$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 11c | 895.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 72c | 737.35$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 3c | 734.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 655.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 613.2$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 75c | 570.38$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 72c | 487.56$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 53c | 485$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.33 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 455.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 28c | 455.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.59 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 7c | 449.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 34c | 438.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.89 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 38c | 418.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.9 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Yes | 63c | 400.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 43c | 386.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…dd01backed Yes | 29c | 380$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 55c | 364.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 40c | 354.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…7d54backed No | 6c | 345.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…6cc3backed Yes | 46c | 331.85$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…b107backed No | 55c | 325.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 24c | 314.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 309.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…90a6backed Yes | 70c | 286.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 37c | 278.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.69 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 54c | 272.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 45c | 241.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 80c | 238.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 48c | 232.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ccbabacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 13c | 219.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.94 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 67c | 214.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0a…01b8backed Yes | 46c | 208.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…7e8abacked No | 57c | 206.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 74c | 205.46$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…65b4backed Yes | 41c | 199.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…2a19backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…3912backed Yes | 48c | 186.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 18c | 180.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…2c2ebacked No | 56c | 178.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…1381backed No | 57c | 172.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 18c | 172.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 19c | 164.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 58c | 164.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…14cdbacked Yes | 41c | 156.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 55c | 150.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…5a2ebacked No | 62c | 140.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf04…b5b1backed Yes | 41c | 137.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…536cbacked Yes | 41c | 137.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…ec9cbacked No | 22c | 137.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…d043backed No | 62c | 129.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…09a7backed Yes | 45c | 127.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…79e0backed Yes | 47c | 127.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…d85abacked Yes | 50c | 126.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 25c | 123.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 42c | 121.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba25…aa2cbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…0058backed No | 54c | 119.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763c…cb06backed Yes | 46c | 114.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…e144backed Yes | 46c | 113.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…ad85backed Yes | 45c | 109.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…7389backed Yes | 41c | 106.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…d6cbbacked Yes | 46c | 106.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb596…511abacked No | 53c | 106.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 51c | 105.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…64b7backed No | 56c | 104.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f154backed Yes | 48c | 103.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…5b83backed No | 57c | 102.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3624…a839backed Yes | 46c | 101.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…8539backed No | 55c | 101.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b5…23cebacked Yes | 46c | 101.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f78…0104backed No | 56c | 100.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…20f2backed No | 54c | 100.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?this page
- Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Jalen Milroe be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Jaxson Dart be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Kelvin Banks Jr. be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Mason Graham be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Mykel Williams be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
- Will Will Campbell be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.