Earnings · resolved market
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7666dbf2728c1ccf5ab7590cd04b6b8ffc8a682425ab27a393e4b3ec1aadb16d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x899c…8f18backed Yes | 28c | 3,130$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3f…266cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,930$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…cd84backed Yes | 27c | 2,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…11dcbacked No | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…8312backed No | 72c | 1,530$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ce…55b9backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086e…0ae0backed No | 71c | 1,430$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 55c | 1,430$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.1 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a9…31b4backed No | 73c | 1,420$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…2646backed No | 73c | 1,380$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked No | 46c | 1,033$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 9c | 735.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 60c | 724.72$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.49 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…9762backed No | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 30c | 554.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.23 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 51c | 521.47$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 55c | 488.69$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 64c | 482.09$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.72 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 40c | 461.51$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.73 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 59c | 395.24$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2945…862ebacked No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 256.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 46c | 229.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 7c | 216.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 26c | 158.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 60c | 139.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 66c | 127.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 69c | 123$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 102.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…0239backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…af06backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…fb1abacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…ee1dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 33c | 99.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed No | 78c | 88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 36c | 76.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…eea1backed No | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…36fdbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 34c | 55.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 71c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…4091backed No | 38c | 52.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271b…d4b0backed No | 76c | 52.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 21c | 52.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…fb70backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f2…f720backed Yes | 40c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 65c | 43.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 34c | 40.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…b35abacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…ea7bbacked Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…9b34backed No | 60c | 33.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…1972backed Yes | 48c | 31.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked No | 78c | 25.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…8da4backed No | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed No | 79c | 22.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ff83backed No | 51c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…8eb8backed No | 79c | 21.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…800dbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…67f9backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…0d49backed No | 75c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.