Earnings · resolved market
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6e24791df46f2dfb069dd01e3031db44976f8c9ea91960691a3b6649dfcacfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 76c | 3,799$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.07 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 24c | 1,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.38 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 25c | 1,140$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,010$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 24c | 980.01$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 891.18$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…1a3bbacked No | 11c | 887.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 28c | 800$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 15c | 674.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed No | 12c | 670.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…416abacked No | 12c | 569.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 22c | 554.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 441.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 78c | 438.58$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 14c | 404$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 15c | 337.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 24c | 334$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed No | 15c | 264.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 22c | 207.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…2105backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 27c | 198.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 74c | 166.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 25c | 149.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 20c | 135.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…d36abacked No | 28c | 131.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f2…f720backed No | 17c | 115.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 66c | 87.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 18c | 79.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 19c | 62.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dd…7085backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…9e78backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaa…721bbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…cda2backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…0972backed Yes | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…7739backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 66c | 24.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…96f2backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…7f88backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.