Earnings · resolved market
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3df6317f9955a852b02f1fd386c91ea67cf793360acbca25629b226393ddf497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc048…57bcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,263$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…f73dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,937$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 23c | 1,246$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.07 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 21c | 1,088$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.18 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 23c | 648$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 22c | 554.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…416abacked No | 11c | 549.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.94 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 11c | 533.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 374.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 13c | 305$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…9762backed No | 20c | 245$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed No | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed No | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…b35abacked Yes | 78c | 130.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f2…f720backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 12c | 89.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…cda2backed No | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 78c | 69.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…7e87backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…4f3ebacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 77c | 15.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.