MLB · resolved market
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 13 million and 15 million viewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ee3ec738716372228a9997d643247bfcdbff6508ce64e4fd07a894fc811e5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 23c | 470.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…8189backed No | 76c | 340$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 290.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 35c | 290$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 63c | 213.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…e464backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…5f3abacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 78c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…8bdebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 72c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 13 million and 15 million viewersthis page
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 11 million and 13 million viewersNo won
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 9 million and 11 million viewersNo won
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have fewer than 9 million viewersNo won
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have more than 15 million viewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.