MLB · resolved market
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have more than 15 million viewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221cc111954598b4ff6ee1da074c23ab7ecc71645fec2769836a189bdfae6f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Yes | 26c | 1,596$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 683.29$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.85 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 39c | 475$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 380.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 66c | 338.81$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed No | 64c | 267.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 42c | 165.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed No | 55c | 153.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 58c | 126.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…ad88backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b99…38aebacked Yes | 35c | 99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 92.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 17c | 80.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…9cd3backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 51c | 55.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 39.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…f5a8backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have more than 15 million viewersthis page
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 11 million and 13 million viewersNo won
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 13 million and 15 million viewersNo won
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 9 million and 11 million viewersNo won
- Will the 2025 MLB World Series have fewer than 9 million viewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.