Earnings · resolved market
Will iHeartMedia (IHRT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe41434acfda39a91f8a3dd50ecd7c01e0c81b41c3a81bb41cea1be36caf628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,074$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 57c | 444.58$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d3…5060backed Yes | 4c | 307.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 28c | 275.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 47c | 222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 65c | 175.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked No | 63c | 162.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed No | 80c | 125.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed No | 80c | 114.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 36c | 99.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 70c | 92.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 37c | 81.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 27c | 75.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 47c | 56.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes | 45c | 53.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…0d74backed No | 62c | 42.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…7283backed No | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 77c | 39.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3857…6605backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 43c | 28.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…e248backed Yes | 41c | 26.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…7a2dbacked No | 61c | 21.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…c2c4backed No | 71c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.