TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No70c10,881$7,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,563.853616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcac9…200bbacked Yes30c10,873$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,627.511450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes49c8,337$4,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,291.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes60c6,218$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.134325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed No8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked No75c3,287$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.542268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Yes25c3,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.991573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Yes29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes5c2,850$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick21cpaid+393.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes46c2,845$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed No5c1,500$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81427.1%3 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes26c1,376$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f38…f189backed Yes35c1,352$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes30c1,223$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.411618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Yes33c1,121$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes48c1,035$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.731070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes69c801.13$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes29c774.37$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.91442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes26c714.88$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.98825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d3…6eabbacked Yes29c678.2$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Yes14c643.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.391752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa842…ab57backed Yes51c515$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked No60c491.45$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.681520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1b…5afdbacked Yes42c479.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.89837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No73c472.72$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes40c466.8$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.083941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ed…cbbebacked Yes50c399.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No73c380.57$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.135151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No67c351.93$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.452445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a3…2e00backed Yes29c332.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e8…21bbbacked Yes31c320$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No73c300$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd997…2f53backed Yes50c242.04$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes41c232.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.372321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No54c219.23$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.188535.3%30 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x872f…4daebacked Yes47c210.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No65c209.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.661330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c9…9d83backed Yes34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6212…4eb3backed Yes29c199.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9b…b6ecbacked No54c185.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No46c185.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No57c169.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No71c169.27$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Yes48c162.04$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes34c157.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.211040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No63c157.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.841330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes29c141.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.425318.9%10 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No65c131.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2711858.5%69 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed No60c123.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea72…d821backed No70c121.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+82.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes29c115.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.016137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a82…7547backed Yes26c115.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.291764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5df…307dbacked Yes48c107.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0892…38f4backed Yes30c101.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.86425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…c6e3backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e82…5fadbacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+88%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c86…e223backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes23c99.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes46c97.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.414100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No52c92.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.862737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…6ad4backed No55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes47c70.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ba…adb3backed Yes30c68.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No54c65.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.332770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed No60c65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes19c64.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.41839.6%8 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes23c64.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.05559.1%5 W · 50 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-60.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ce…ad0cbacked Yes27c56.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+201.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Yes37c56.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…f6e0backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No42c48.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c3…a43abacked Yes30c42.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2726…b4e2backed Yes73c41.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce60…6705backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3131…997ebacked Yes34c36.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf6a…b1f8backed No73c34.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b0…963fbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes40c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492448.2%20 W · 224 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No66c30.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa3…6912backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Yes51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+58.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf484…bf13backed No70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd7b…1357backed No71c27.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes45c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.32339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1b…94eebacked No72c25.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e4…a442backed No72c25.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d3c…3ebcbacked Yes46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9bb…5048backed No67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked No62c24.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.450%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No59c21.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x221b…c983backed No71c20.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabeb…50acbacked No71c20.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe0…192abacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4169…98e9backed No74c17.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.591553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed No73c13.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.