Olympics · resolved market
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d9bd758f02ff23b97a634d3e35d74a089b4d193080ff35aca1b857fe223f12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 9,900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 14c | 6,277$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 14c | 1,259$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 613.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…63cdbacked Yes | 27c | 514.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 15c | 271.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 256.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 12c | 254.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 205.65$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…e366backed Yes | 18c | 156.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…3b8cbacked Yes | 27c | 139.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 138.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…75bdbacked Yes | 16c | 112.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4577…d45bbacked Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 14c | 92.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 52.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 35c | 52.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 78c | 36.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 32c | 32.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 64c | 26.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 80c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.