Olympics · resolved market
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacbd8cce7682e415c17b1562963036941ca7613610a02b1d7509672a937d0275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2246…1732backed Yes | 19c | 2,674$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 14c | 1,970$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 11c | 900$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…b0ccbacked Yes | 13c | 571.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 11c | 499.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5902backed Yes | 11c | 363.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…3d61backed Yes | 12c | 336.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 298.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 249.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…75bdbacked Yes | 11c | 177.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…d55bbacked Yes | 12c | 172.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 7c | 171.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 9c | 169.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 155.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 11c | 113.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f4d6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.