TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Earnings · resolved market

Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Earnings
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d6e…f73dbacked Yes40c6,000$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.74955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b92…42e6backed No60c3,980$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.1612264.8%79 W · 43 L+15.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes33c3,462$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.98048.8%39 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked No62c3,402$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.62330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No63c3,389$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.3376837.4%287 W · 481 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0e…64fcbacked Yes45c1,138$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No62c448.61$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0226334.6%91 W · 172 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x470d…b463backed Yes39c438.71$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.987561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdacf…8d11backed No66c399.8$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.788541.2%35 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa2…9593backed Yes41c399.5$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.82360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No60c344.11$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.785431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1009…ddeebacked Yes38c316.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xabf1…98cbbacked No65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…d966backed Yes35c285.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes43c250$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.310272.5%74 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes38c249.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.993138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…65e8backed Yes33c239.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed No64c233.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.077262.5%45 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eaa…721bbacked Yes36c230.3$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6467642.9%290 W · 386 L-36.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5986…83e3backed Yes37c191.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.114454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.415530.3%47 W · 108 L-20.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0433…8b4fbacked Yes38c175.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.371020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes42c172.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.561225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0877…fa92backed Yes28c172.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7274…5d7abacked No64c162.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf23b…4957backed No66c152.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.467100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xface…9d17backed Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa150…416abacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked No77c149.1$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.513960.4%84 W · 55 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf006…1b00backed No68c147.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.441060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…d95cbacked No62c146.01$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.35156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No61c141.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7620729.5%61 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc2…ac7dbacked Yes43c136.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed No62c134.82$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2315765%102 W · 55 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes38c130.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.179247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes39c129.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017226.7%46 W · 126 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67c…608bbacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked Yes15c114.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2147338.5%182 W · 291 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c66…31e3backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…6fb8backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf713…72f5backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c0…1c8ebacked No63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721861%133 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510760.7%65 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…d4b3backed Yes38c93.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x828f…bc0abacked No69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Yes42c86.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.99761.9%60 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510067%67 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes28c82.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1511032.7%36 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b4…9518backed Yes36c81.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No62c80.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.711752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x109e…0a59backed No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62552%13 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…8bdebacked Yes35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6f…f078backed No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a9…677ebacked Yes33c72.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes29c72.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721820.2%44 W · 174 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed Yes36c65.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5920331.5%64 W · 139 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked Yes31c64.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208058.8%47 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes35c63.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.133324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8e…2cb1backed No63c63.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x902d…1f3fbacked No69c57.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.815356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes31c56.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.646952.2%36 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b9f…d2b9backed Yes39c54.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d5…55b0backed Yes38c53.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes39c52.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.53834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1574…bfd9backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.518941.3%78 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e3…cda8backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x751d…daeebacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x008a…0681backed Yes39c46.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x388e…2078backed No61c46.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0e…3311backed No63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f4…2c5ebacked No65c38.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.561957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed No57c38.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Yes41c36.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517441.4%72 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e0…3bc0backed No68c36.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.682352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3be…94e4backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes32c33.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.675038%19 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3161…623dbacked Yes39c32.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.635060%30 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x905a…75dabacked No62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109960.6%60 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x903c…57d8backed No64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711771.8%84 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…97dbbacked Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ee…26babacked Yes35c29.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe964…92febacked No68c29.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.365100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e23…cf5bbacked Yes37c27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed No64c26.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.514736.2%17 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0102…32afbacked No64c24.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c4…980fbacked No68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…a297backed No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…e5c6backed No68c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.081080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecca…6a15backed No67c17.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.73785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b3…23a9backed No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.