Middle East · resolved market
Will Syria hold national elections before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774ca4122d2df30f856cb2eb5e1f393bd0bea1922bcbf072f207d0ab914d759e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b2f…84e9backed Yes | 25c | 9,024$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,320$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 3,153$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 72c | 2,950$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 25c | 2,398$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.91 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 1c | 1,908$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…978ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,740$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,200$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,095$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 73c | 1,062$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 10c | 893.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…7e8cbacked Yes | 27c | 868.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 78c | 861.35$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.26 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0f29backed Yes | 29c | 588.26$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed Yes | 26c | 495.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 5c | 483.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…b605backed No | 79c | 449.43$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…6bb9backed Yes | 10c | 427.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 27c | 418.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 398.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked Yes | 26c | 394.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…1fe7backed Yes | 29c | 351.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 350.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 330$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 329.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…fd47backed No | 75c | 328.66$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 315.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 25c | 301.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 26c | 299.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…2b70backed Yes | 28c | 287.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 238.59$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 68c | 237.56$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 33c | 237.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 9c | 235.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed No | 72c | 215.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 29c | 209.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed Yes | 26c | 196.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…f243backed Yes | 23c | 188.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 26c | 159.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…a5e7backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…4784backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 19c | 145.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 27c | 140.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…c602backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…6654backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…c8aabacked Yes | 42c | 120.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked Yes | 36c | 114$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…2200backed Yes | 26c | 113.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…d147backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…74c6backed Yes | 28c | 108.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…f24fbacked Yes | 24c | 101.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed Yes | 28c | 100.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…616dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…c1a5backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +6.6wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…6132backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 26c | 98.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…1af2backed Yes | 26c | 94.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked No | 40c | 86.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed No | 72c | 69.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 19c | 68.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8869backed Yes | 34c | 62.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed No | 69c | 62.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…a0f3backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed No | 74c | 54.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…8ea6backed No | 74c | 54.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…0c6abacked Yes | 25c | 51.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked No | 73c | 51.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…e990backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 25c | 41.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…a732backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…d87fbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…2eb3backed No | 74c | 32.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…5a2ebacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +12.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 75c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…f877backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 54c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.