Us Politics · resolved market
Trump out as President in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea3c3d537c0495872754400b9ab59755a932d3e2b6115e309d62ed236ee1b612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,769,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,204,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,769,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 4c | 174,700$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,607.66 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 12c | 156,120$19,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,212.38 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 1c | 126,880$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…1015backed Yes | 10c | 102,935$10,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,205.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 9c | 92,221$8,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,004.52 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 75,324$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.4 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc870…7e48backed Yes | 5c | 65,727$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…b5cebacked Yes | 1c | 50,750$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…9e5cbacked Yes | 2c | 50,205$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 7c | 46,278$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Yes | 1c | 44,154$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 3c | 38,672$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…597fbacked Yes | 1c | 37,967$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 37,905$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.85 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…b2e7backed Yes | 3c | 30,029$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 10c | 29,244$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…30a7backed Yes | 1c | 25,021$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…bbffbacked Yes | 1c | 23,452$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…448fbacked Yes | 5c | 20,072$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…0baabacked Yes | 5c | 19,907$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…9bc0backed Yes | 6c | 19,051$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…0a23backed Yes | 0c | 18,702$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…f098backed Yes | 5c | 18,060$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14b…0d90backed Yes | 7c | 16,621$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 9c | 16,480$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…98a3backed Yes | 8c | 16,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 5c | 15,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes | 3c | 13,961$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…47e1backed Yes | 1c | 12,353$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd17…9bfbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…4343backed Yes | 1c | 11,525$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…5b04backed Yes | 1c | 11,476$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed Yes | 7c | 11,437$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 3c | 11,430$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.89 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…27a6backed Yes | 10c | 11,430$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…80a4backed Yes | 1c | 11,221$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 3c | 11,077$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 3c | 10,783$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…13febacked Yes | 4c | 10,754$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…299bbacked Yes | 4c | 10,716$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…89c0backed Yes | 8c | 10,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1d…830fbacked Yes | 11c | 10,467$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…fd9dbacked Yes | 10c | 10,011$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…ba1bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,910$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…339ebacked Yes | 6c | 9,675$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1f…ee2ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,644$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 11c | 9,467$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.72 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…398bbacked Yes | 7c | 9,444$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a7…57a0backed Yes | 6c | 8,697$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…ce94backed Yes | 1c | 8,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…a154backed Yes | 6c | 8,395$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…586abacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 3c | 8,286$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…2a53backed Yes | 13c | 8,075$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88b…d4e3backed Yes | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…8731backed Yes | 4c | 8,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +334.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…5515backed Yes | 1c | 7,788$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,447$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 7,358$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 7,165$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…248ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,088$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 6c | 6,788$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.36 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 1c | 6,664$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…7c77backed Yes | 1c | 6,632$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…803ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,516$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248d…a0e9backed Yes | 3c | 6,434$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…a03ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,305$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…681fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,289$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…5e3fbacked Yes | 8c | 6,200$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…b73abacked Yes | 2c | 6,194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 5c | 5,966$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,962$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.97 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…b9b7backed Yes | 2c | 5,924$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,850$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +902.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…0489backed Yes | 6c | 5,833$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…9ac1backed Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…508cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 3c | 5,483$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…851fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,314$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…fa36backed Yes | 2c | 5,289$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e132backed Yes | 0c | 5,170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 5c | 5,105$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.22 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…c208backed Yes | 6c | 5,047$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…2138backed Yes | 1c | 5,021$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…f9d1backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…5d66backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…da36backed Yes | 2c | 4,941$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…21e0backed Yes | 8c | 4,722$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 5c | 4,640$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,629$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 5c | 4,534$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.75 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,365$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 4,307$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 4,196$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.