Earnings · resolved market
Will DeFi Technologies (DEFT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4de7e7e4899e512d0e3ac0b649237bfffec3d038d0cb5535c531e1a27f1dfe84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 50c | 827.95$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.97 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 55c | 659$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.55 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 40c | 623.49$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d68…402cbacked Yes | 44c | 528.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 59c | 505.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 15c | 499.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 39c | 456.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.16 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 44c | 218.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 65c | 217.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 34c | 175.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 62c | 160.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 16c | 157.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8e90backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 37c | 147.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Yes | 12c | 127.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 38c | 111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 54c | 109.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 102.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 99.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 57c | 95.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked No | 67c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 59cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked No | 48c | 85.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4f…c6c6backed No | 30c | 81.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 38c | 79.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 55c | 75.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…1790backed No | 56c | 64.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 65c | 61.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4663…5888backed Yes | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 39c | 53.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 49.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…dd2abacked Yes | 36c | 47.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 44c | 40.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…552fbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…300abacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…e7a6backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…e248backed Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked No | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 59c | 38.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…b307backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 56c | 30.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…61f8backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…75dabacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes | 60c | 27.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…b12bbacked No | 66c | 24.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…792ebacked Yes | 46c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 68c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…95dcbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…d234backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe582…b6dcbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.