NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802a1db8258416b729b34cf3d4eb701c5ffdec81fd382ef2ade9d136e00d3413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Flyers, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bruins | 32c | 12,596$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,543.68 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Bruins | 52c | 11,741$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,633.55 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Flyers | 48c | 6,969$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Bruins | 52c | 6,930$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Bruins | 59c | 6,395$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed Flyers | 41c | 6,357$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Bruins | 56c | 6,281$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed Flyers | 44c | 6,230$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Flyers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bruins | 13c | 1,820$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.7 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Bruins | 61c | 1,162$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Flyers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Bruins | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Flyers | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bruins | 58c | 947.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.95 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Bruins | 61c | 713.13$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.12 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Flyers | 79c | 622.96$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.38 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb468…ff6ebacked Flyers | 77c | 600$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Flyers | 42c | 595.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Flyers | 39c | 581.79$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Bruins | 57c | 574.87$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 39c | 556.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Bruins | 23c | 531.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Bruins | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…51dfbacked Bruins | 51c | 438.02$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Flyers | 61c | 400$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins | 44c | 399.01$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.6 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Flyers | 47c | 364.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Flyers | 42c | 326.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Bruins | 31c | 291.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +689.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Flyers | 65c | 240.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bruins | 60c | 165.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Flyers | 40c | 149.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 39c | 103.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Flyers | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Bruins | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Bruins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flyers | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Flyers | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flyers | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Bruins | 21c | 82.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Flyers | 70c | 81.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Flyers | 75c | 80.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1135…964fbacked Flyers | 27c | 70.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Bruins | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Flyers | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…c0a7backed Flyers | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Bruins | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bruins | 42c | 59.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bruins | 23c | 50.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3d…f363backed Flyers | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Flyers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Flyers | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…a725backed Bruins | 42c | 40.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Flyers | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Bruins | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Flyers | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Flyers | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…48b9backed Bruins | 73c | 38.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…d9e9backed Bruins | 73c | 32.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Bruins | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a9…90ffbacked Bruins | 59c | 30.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…eccebacked Bruins | 58c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…4e11backed Flyers | 41c | 27.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…4919backed Flyers | 40c | 25.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…4e58backed Bruins | 59c | 17.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…5bb0backed Bruins | 59c | 17.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Bruins | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.