Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Manchester United beat Twente?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d89502df8e34bd4b6487dc09659e14e048a505509d74f9bc951605b2fb1a8f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 24c | 24,601$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,784.59 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 80c | 10,686$8,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,514.59 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 21c | 8,445$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,698.01 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 79c | 2,855$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.37 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 78c | 1,932$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 21c | 1,688$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.77 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 23c | 1,505$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.75 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,199$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 23c | 716.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.05 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d6…ee57backed No | 14c | 685.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…85a6backed Yes | 76c | 660.62$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…7ea9backed Yes | 78c | 653.85$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 22c | 555$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…1106backed No | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 76c | 488.51$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 25c | 399.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…e644backed Yes | 17c | 394.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed No | 26c | 341.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 22c | 323$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 4c | 321.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 19c | 304.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 78c | 300$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 77c | 298.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…1bb3backed Yes | 78c | 274.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…d279backed Yes | 78c | 269.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed Yes | 78c | 257.13$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…6d07backed Yes | 78c | 256.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked No | 28c | 216.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 77c | 200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaed…c6bdbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 55c | 168.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…2c9ebacked Yes | 78c | 168.12$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…665bbacked Yes | 80c | 146.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…1184backed No | 26c | 146.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…4698backed Yes | 78c | 141.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…f69cbacked Yes | 78c | 137.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f7…987fbacked Yes | 78c | 133.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked Yes | 77c | 130.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb55…c61fbacked No | 26c | 125.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…a2e4backed Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…93dfbacked No | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 21c | 109.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Yes | 78c | 109.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…f73dbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae88…8f5bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…657bbacked No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 76c | 92.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 74c | 91.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…2cd6backed No | 23c | 88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…c700backed Yes | 79c | 78.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…3164backed Yes | 76c | 74.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…3a58backed Yes | 78c | 68.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 45c | 67.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…d8ecbacked No | 24c | 59.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +315.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed Yes | 79c | 54.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…7235backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…13b3backed Yes | 78c | 51.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 21c | 49.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 25c | 41.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…80a2backed Yes | 76c | 38.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc8…59dfbacked Yes | 75c | 34.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…9b34backed Yes | 75c | 32.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…5e49backed Yes | 75c | 31.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…3460backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…a689backed Yes | 75c | 26.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a3ebbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…f2fabacked Yes | 79c | 22.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c3…7892backed Yes | 75c | 21.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…6182backed Yes | 77c | 21.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…fb87backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dce…5e09backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…0336backed Yes | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed Yes | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United beat Twente?this page
- Will Twente beat Manchester United?No won
- Will the match between Manchester United and Twente end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.