WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs. Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd18d9c5d5681b128a3dfb77878c0ade7d68d38a1b26d032c3556dbb99c817d60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Storm, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Storm | 0c | 10,627$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Storm | 1c | 6,348$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Storm | 13c | 5,512$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.3 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Storm | 30c | 5,094$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.79 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Aces | 71c | 4,690$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Storm | 17c | 4,303$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.13 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Storm | 29c | 3,941$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Storm | 3c | 2,954$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Storm | 29c | 2,515$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Aces | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Aces | 70c | 2,400$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Aces | 71c | 2,367$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Aces | 69c | 2,175$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Aces | 70c | 2,050$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Storm | 30c | 1,900$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Storm | 30c | 1,890$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.69 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Storm | 11c | 1,850$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Storm | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Storm | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Aces | 75c | 1,126$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.52 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Aces | 72c | 1,071$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Aces | 71c | 1,070$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Aces | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Aces | 74c | 806.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Aces | 70c | 781.4$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.42 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aces | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Storm | 32c | 599.86$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Aces | 70c | 574.22$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Storm | 29c | 438.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Storm | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Storm | 6c | 338.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Storm | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Storm | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Aces | 70c | 242.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Storm | 28c | 239.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Storm | 30c | 235$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Storm | 31c | 206.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Storm | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Aces | 72c | 194.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Aces | 71c | 181.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Aces | 76c | 152.27$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Aces | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…e12abacked Aces | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Aces | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aces | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Aces | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…1165backed Storm | 30c | 130.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Aces | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Aces | 72c | 112.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Aces | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm | 11c | 112.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Storm | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Aces | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Aces | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed Aces | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Aces | 71c | 72.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Aces | 75c | 71.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Storm | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…c85cbacked Storm | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8970…14d0backed Storm | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…96aabacked Storm | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Aces | 68c | 58.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Aces | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Storm | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Storm | 30c | 47.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…08b0backed Storm | 29c | 47.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Storm | 30c | 46.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Storm | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Aces | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…81cbbacked Aces | 71c | 33.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Aces | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…13d2backed Aces | 71c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked Aces | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Aces | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Aces | 72c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Aces | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Aces | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…d029backed Aces | 69c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.