NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8ee7efcddc952e3b2f0ad127bf368b6f5866041ed448b9478b46cf407a37ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Jaguars | 32c | 86,732$27,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,688.76 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Bills | 68c | 42,343$28,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,502.76 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bills | 69c | 38,000$26,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bills | 68c | 28,607$19,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,154.11 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Jaguars | 5c | 22,010$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.46 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Bills | 68c | 18,912$12,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.84 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Jaguars | 1c | 17,482$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Jaguars | 8c | 17,266$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.12 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Jaguars | 2c | 17,022$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Bills | 67c | 15,942$10,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars | 31c | 12,923$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Jaguars | 1c | 9,254$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Bills | 69c | 7,621$5,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.64 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bills | 70c | 5,700$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Bills | 80c | 4,566$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.77 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Bills | 68c | 4,348$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Jaguars | 30c | 3,686$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Bills | 73c | 3,611$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…e595backed Jaguars | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Jaguars | 26c | 2,665$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.87 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Jaguars | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…172ebacked Bills | 70c | 2,357$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Bills | 68c | 2,072$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.32 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bills | 69c | 1,845$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.8 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jaguars | 31c | 1,840$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.4 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bills | 70c | 1,667$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed Jaguars | 31c | 1,610$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Bills | 69c | 1,537$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.54 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Jaguars | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Bills | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jaguars | 28c | 1,336$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.88 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Bills | 71c | 1,329$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…362dbacked Jaguars | 25c | 1,209$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Jaguars | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Bills | 70c | 1,040$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jaguars | 33c | 1,033$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.04 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Bills | 70c | 1,012$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Bills | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Bills | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Bills | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Jaguars | 13c | 852.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Bills | 67c | 799.94$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.98 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Jaguars | 31c | 782.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Jaguars | 32c | 731.21$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.11 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed Bills | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bills | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Jaguars | 32c | 699.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Bills | 69c | 661.01$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bills | 69c | 615.94$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe322…99ffbacked Bills | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…92eebacked Bills | 77c | 584.09$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Jaguars | 33c | 519.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Bills | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Jaguars | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Jaguars | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 72c | 499.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…502bbacked Jaguars | 31c | 486.28$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…3808backed Jaguars | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jaguars | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Bills | 69c | 455.21$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Jaguars | 4c | 445$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…e3b2backed Bills | 69c | 433.53$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Bills | 70c | 408.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Bills | 68c | 400$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…b4b2backed Bills | 70c | 384.29$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Bills | 67c | 372.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Jaguars | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Jaguars | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…b4b4backed Jaguars | 31c | 359.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Bills | 69c | 350$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…e3cebacked Jaguars | 31c | 334.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…f10cbacked Bills | 69c | 332.35$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Bills | 69c | 331.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Bills | 70c | 327.14$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Jaguars | 14c | 325$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Jaguars | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Bills | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…6c50backed Jaguars | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…d256backed Bills | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Bills | 68c | 269.12$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…e795backed Jaguars | 33c | 254.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 38cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Bills | 68c | 254.34$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Jaguars | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Bills | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Jaguars | 31c | 229.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4181backed Jaguars | 11c | 224.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…5179backed Bills | 69c | 224.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…bdc4backed Bills | 69c | 218.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Bills | 79c | 218.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Jaguars | 11c | 217.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…c4dcbacked Jaguars | 31c | 217.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Bills | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Bills | 70c | 204.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…f97abacked Jaguars | 31c | 203.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Bills | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Bills | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Bills | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…664dbacked Jaguars | 31c | 190.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…e76ebacked Bills | 69c | 188$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.