Venezuela · resolved market
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca562ff8765e65f76818e57927ad197260d0ba1381aa6703b29004971b5f1e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…7ea0backed Yes | 1c | 3,534$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…a48ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,146$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed Yes | 0c | 3,023$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…810ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,284$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…035dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,160$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 42c | 1,603$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.31 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,550$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…d13cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,404$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…8fb6backed Yes | 1c | 1,313$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,289$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…5d2cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,285$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 50c | 814.65$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 57c | 800$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 64c | 562.65$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92da…5b8dbacked Yes | 5c | 530.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…263fbacked Yes | 2c | 529.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 43c | 499.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Yes | 34c | 428.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc6…16abbacked Yes | 3c | 419.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…112cbacked Yes | 5c | 411.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 71c | 405.63$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594a…906ebacked Yes | 42c | 350.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 69c | 280$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…eea3backed No | 72c | 276.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed No | 36c | 275.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 31c | 271.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…ef5fbacked Yes | 60c | 267.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 231.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 51c | 209.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfa…57fdbacked Yes | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Yes | 47c | 168.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…b13abacked Yes | 66c | 150.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 66c | 140$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 139.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 51c | 118.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…a1a1backed No | 44c | 114.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…643fbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…fe45backed Yes | 51c | 98.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 38c | 96.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…a2ccbacked No | 53c | 93.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…b13cbacked No | 64c | 88.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 69c | 79.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 50c | 76.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…0cd8backed No | 52c | 76.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 44c | 75.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…c224backed Yes | 37c | 69.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 67c | 66.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 48c | 61.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…b451backed Yes | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…e447backed Yes | 67c | 58.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…3970backed Yes | 60c | 53.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…126bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Yes | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…7547backed Yes | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…60aebacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63a…90a6backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 54c | 41.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…d7b7backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…5a8ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…6ed3backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…c9aebacked Yes | 56c | 39.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…ad11backed No | 52c | 38.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 57c | 37.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…be4bbacked No | 70c | 36.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 40c | 34.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…0116backed No | 62c | 33.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 32.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…0b6dbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 37c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16e2…169bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…1bf1backed No | 57c | 26.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f4c1backed Yes | 61c | 25.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c05…3e93backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 47c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…e808backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…3544backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…7fd7backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…9d6fbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.