Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22776ecdacca07302e6cc578cdcf26df93b4233d5a8166cbf131cb32fec425b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 32c | 8,486$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.31 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed No | 14c | 2,743$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 13c | 2,280$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 1,366$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 70c | 1,249$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.53 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,001$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.92 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 16c | 902.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 10c | 858.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 20c | 721.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 717.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked Yes | 30c | 699.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 75c | 529.22$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 74c | 497.71$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.31 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 28c | 456.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 440$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 20c | 397.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 35c | 385.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…db35backed Yes | 62c | 374.89$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…f8c9backed No | 10c | 304.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Yes | 53c | 294.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 14c | 269.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 249.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 67c | 238.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Yes | 61c | 234$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Yes | 57c | 231.07$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 226.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 63c | 219.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 6c | 209$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 80c | 203.35$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed No | 16c | 198.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 7c | 193$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 10c | 188.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 33c | 184.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 14c | 178.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed Yes | 62c | 174.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 15c | 174.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…d3ebbacked Yes | 62c | 167.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 60c | 165.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…d966backed Yes | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 21c | 163$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 22c | 162.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…9494backed Yes | 62c | 157.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…ed0fbacked Yes | 61c | 155.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 75c | 149.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 76c | 141$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked No | 39c | 132.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 16c | 131.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 131.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 68c | 114.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 25c | 105.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 16c | 104.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 39c | 104.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 12c | 99.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 61c | 91.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…fdabbacked No | 12c | 91.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 67c | 74.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 48c | 65.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…c9b9backed No | 18c | 61.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 21c | 58.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 28c | 47.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…18c4backed Yes | 64c | 47.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…4a23backed Yes | 62c | 45.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…1076backed No | 40c | 43.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…5b53backed No | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed No | 39c | 39.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…9e76backed Yes | 67c | 37.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 32.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…fb49backed Yes | 62c | 30.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 39c | 29.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 67c | 26.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 50c | 25.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes | 62c | 23.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 62c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 68c | 19.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d6…796dbacked Yes | 77c | 13.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.