TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$421,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors16c23,848$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,697.2165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks73c22,105$16,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,948.3347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Knicks67c15,831$10,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.9711164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors19c12,490$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Knicks65c11,215$7,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,883.875552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aba…4a14backed Raptors34c10,026$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d9…3d3cbacked Knicks66c10,003$6,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors33c9,999$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.6747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Knicks69c9,921$6,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.559868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors31c9,279$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.261,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Raptors21c7,940$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Knicks64c7,137$4,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.3337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Raptors33c6,448$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.6825845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks65c6,350$4,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.9396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Raptors34c6,300$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Knicks67c5,688$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.069952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors22c5,059$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.1172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Raptors0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Knicks78c4,936$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.1114057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Raptors34c4,562$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.0947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Knicks67c4,543$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.1812663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors34c3,051$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.741,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebaa…992ebacked Knicks64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Raptors33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Knicks66c2,576$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.8511834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors35c2,555$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.0577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Knicks64c2,339$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.976549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9df…b508backed Raptors35c2,229$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.21785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Raptors32c2,188$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Raptors34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68020047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…8dacbacked Raptors36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf98e…40a5backed Knicks67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors2c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors35c1,899$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.61,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cfd…9227backed Raptors35c1,800$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors36c1,664$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.041,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Knicks67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5411355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe81a…1643backed Raptors33c1,436$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.961643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Raptors37c1,402$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.8717047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors32c1,386$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.5130440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Raptors2c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Raptors27c1,055$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4417546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2c…21f8backed Knicks66c1,053$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.961250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors21c821.9$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors36c798.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.535,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Knicks64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2517044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Raptors3c776.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed Raptors36c775.37$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.131650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors2c774.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.935502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2432…ae39backed Knicks67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.273330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Raptors41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b7…1e3cbacked Knicks66c724.97$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.491442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Knicks67c714$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.761,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Raptors7c680.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Raptors36c599.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.994022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3317…957abacked Knicks66c590$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Knicks64c589$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0457760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Raptors17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014040%56 W · 84 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6442…2163backed Raptors38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004738.3%18 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Raptors22c520.79$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors31c501.42$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Knicks67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16524855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9b…a66dbacked Knicks68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors35c500$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Raptors34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Raptors34c476.48$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16238027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf7…a4fdbacked Knicks66c474.32$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Raptors36c466.26$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Knicks62c453.39$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2930648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors34c450$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15361345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Raptors32c449.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14435046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6055…62e4backed Knicks66c428.79$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Knicks68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12836434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9042…dcf5backed Knicks66c399.5$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.831060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Knicks64c396.72$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdadc…15fcbacked Raptors39c385.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.26250%31 W · 31 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5f4…a015backed Knicks66c325.75$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Raptors31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Raptors34c311.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10636643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…4546backed Knicks66c310.61$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.618267.1%55 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Raptors34c304.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5912651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Raptors33c303.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Knicks66c302.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.012560%15 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7488…a277backed Raptors36c300.01$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9968642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Knicks67c300$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10050453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Knicks67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5129635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Knicks67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5110240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2629…417cbacked Raptors33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf36a…a9bfbacked Raptors33c243.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5e…ccddbacked Raptors31c234.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…22f2backed Raptors31c232.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac7…206abacked Knicks67c228.36$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3497…71cdbacked Raptors31c220.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Raptors31c204.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4519448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.