TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$489,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$471,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox5c188,223$9,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,560.7810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b20…3ab0backed New York Yankees52c79,849$41,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,327.325851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox47c53,373$25,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,217.8586548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago White Sox47c19,115$8,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,983.8750153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd0…fe12backed Chicago White Sox0c18,534$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Chicago White Sox45c16,000$7,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2703946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees63c15,989$10,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,888.652,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox3c13,941$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.868,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox8c12,185$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.8711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees53c11,321$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,320.751,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Chicago White Sox48c8,250$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9602744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Chicago White Sox48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Chicago White Sox5c6,237$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8685645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox22c5,862$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.858,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Chicago White Sox0c5,363$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9452750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox18c4,212$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.114,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Chicago White Sox48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1610748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8405,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago White Sox3c3,900$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.537032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Chicago White Sox2c2,753$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox10c2,426$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3495045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees53c2,353$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.336,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked New York Yankees52c2,174$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.4744945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees54c2,078$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.153,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed New York Yankees52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.995658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox32c1,858$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.4179442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Chicago White Sox6c1,850$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1192828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox6c1,785$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.578,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox48c1,620$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.6389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox4c1,564$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.144,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees53c1,560$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.12,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox17c1,382$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.372,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees76c1,243$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago White Sox30c1,133$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.371,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Chicago White Sox48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007142.3%30 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed New York Yankees53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7315149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox48c1,011$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.494,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago White Sox6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6082636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees52c975$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4681,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox3c820.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.164,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49e…e5e8backed Chicago White Sox47c797.87$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3759545.3%43 W · 52 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Chicago White Sox10c784.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7615851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees79c724.31$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.631,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed New York Yankees53c675.47$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.473348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox4c655.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox6c641.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked New York Yankees74c611.99$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.886065%39 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed New York Yankees53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0422149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Chicago White Sox48c528.68$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7756253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox45c519.75$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.892,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked New York Yankees53c490.21$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.45954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked New York Yankees55c438.59$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.378856.8%50 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Chicago White Sox32c428.26$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Chicago White Sox9c424.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8152955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Chicago White Sox48c417$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.161,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb09f…8ca2backed New York Yankees53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e56…a7f6backed New York Yankees53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed New York Yankees54c374.5$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6895252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox43c372.86$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.771,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Chicago White Sox44c365.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0146152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked New York Yankees66c357.5$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.556055%33 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Chicago White Sox15c339.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3734952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees71c335.84$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.311,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed New York Yankees75c333$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.253287.5%28 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick78cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago White Sox18c315.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3260348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Chicago White Sox48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ca…25d3backed New York Yankees55c311.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd545…7d3bbacked Chicago White Sox45c311.09$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Chicago White Sox11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d46…20d2backed New York Yankees53c296.3$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.26366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed Chicago White Sox5c294.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chicago White Sox48c287.78$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.397944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…a766backed Chicago White Sox5c286.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Chicago White Sox7c281.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0248660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd2c…97c2backed Chicago White Sox20c255.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509117.6%16 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked New York Yankees68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8052053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Chicago White Sox33c245.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0246255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80e3…14c3backed New York Yankees53c235.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8510155.4%56 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.23,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked New York Yankees53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4281257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe372…2d51backed Chicago White Sox48c221.13$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.148661.6%53 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox21c219.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.033,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago White Sox48c218.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10567449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Chicago White Sox32c218.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Chicago White Sox47c212.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.191749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Chicago White Sox23c212.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.292,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed New York Yankees51c211.1$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.228643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Chicago White Sox48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.839846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Chicago White Sox48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Chicago White Sox48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6974…11b4backed Chicago White Sox48c204.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.961266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees55c201.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.614,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Chicago White Sox46c201.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8650647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Chicago White Sox48c201.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.529753.6%52 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed New York Yankees52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967456.8%42 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Chicago White Sox52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Chicago White Sox36c193.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0228553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked New York Yankees78c192$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2435668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.