MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cfb4871d31c1b3d11f74e69ab1adb0c47ba146e18fc356fbf609367e786a2a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 20,383$5,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,928.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 49c | 3,308$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 59c | 2,098$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,253$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Yankees | 59c | 989.69$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.6 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 849.65$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.87 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 822.07$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Yankees | 40c | 579.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 41c | 377.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 361.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 42c | 345$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 308.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 269.58$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 267.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees | 42c | 261.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 214.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 193.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 39c | 169.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…a570backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 168.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…dc3ebacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 148.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 132.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 111.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed New York Yankees | 59c | 96.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed New York Yankees | 40c | 91.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 89.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 85.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 43c | 84.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees | 42c | 78.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 68.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed New York Yankees | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 40.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Yankees | 51c | 33.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed New York Yankees | 59c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Chicago White Sox | 68c | 18.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 17.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.