MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc461d2062cc72bbdaf018fb3f99b3557d16ea11fabe4caff0e20e1e4bff8f641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 56c | 85,979$48,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,148.3 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 44c | 34,283$15,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,198.59 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 44c | 30,778$13,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,235.68 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 6c | 20,000$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.01 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Brewers | 44c | 19,538$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,941.21 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Brewers | 44c | 13,800$6,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,728 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 56c | 9,640$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.26 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Brewers | 44c | 7,788$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.28 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Brewers | 68c | 4,142$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Blue Jays | 28c | 3,738$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.43 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 2,904$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays | 54c | 2,803$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.64 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Brewers | 78c | 2,591$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,339$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.04 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 69c | 2,147$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.16 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 44c | 1,972$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 45c | 1,926$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.05 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Brewers | 78c | 1,451$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers | 44c | 1,342$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.41 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 46c | 1,303$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.71 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Brewers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,111$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.85 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Brewers | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 34c | 1,065$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 56c | 894.02$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 40c | 721$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Brewers | 45c | 682.22$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.22 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 46c | 666.47$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 48c | 666$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.66 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 47c | 561.69$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Brewers | 45c | 556.42$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.24 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Brewers | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 5c | 510.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Brewers | 43c | 510.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.01 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Brewers | 44c | 477.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.33 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Blue Jays | 3c | 476.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Blue Jays | 4c | 443.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays | 54c | 407.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Brewers | 44c | 399.94$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays | 3c | 360.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Blue Jays | 59c | 340$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 326.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.57 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Brewers | 41c | 323.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Brewers | 44c | 315.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.51 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 314.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 7c | 312.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…7911backed Brewers | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 32c | 272.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 16c | 262.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 258.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 43c | 246.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Brewers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Brewers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Blue Jays | 56c | 221.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 219.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Brewers | 46c | 219.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 54c | 211.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Brewers | 50c | 200.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…c18bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…f811backed Brewers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…41babacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Brewers vs. Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.