Us Politics · resolved market
Trump claims largest inauguration crowd ever?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83212da4a0448c624fd7e0fc26586e7da1f7152fc8cb854579fe7474724f243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 57c | 7,927$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.95 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 42c | 4,194$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.26 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 35c | 4,101$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.19 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 35c | 3,899$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 63c | 3,381$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.53 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…f1d3backed Yes | 23c | 2,984$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 28c | 2,528$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed No | 33c | 2,296$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 71c | 2,183$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.44 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,971$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 46c | 1,874$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.68 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,317$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…2f6ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,061$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…b538backed Yes | 11c | 999.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 14c | 982.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 39c | 900$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 24c | 817.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.19 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…8401backed Yes | 3c | 752.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 49c | 714.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 3c | 714.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 42c | 600.14$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edb0backed Yes | 7c | 507.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 480.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 53c | 472$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 453.23$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…986fbacked Yes | 19c | 436.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 42c | 406.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…7820backed Yes | 3c | 391.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed Yes | 56c | 387.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked No | 20c | 282.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…e0e6backed No | 43c | 270$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 69c | 264.56$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…1dc9backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 16c | 260.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf153…19e4backed Yes | 19c | 232.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 9c | 231.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked No | 45c | 217.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 23c | 217.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 10c | 215.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 55c | 202$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 199.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…cecfbacked Yes | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…de62backed Yes | 57c | 176.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…21f1backed No | 30c | 169$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 54c | 139.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 133$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…e467backed Yes | 79c | 120.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 78c | 115.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487c…4daabacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…b532backed No | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…7005backed No | 47c | 90.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…c0bcbacked Yes | 47c | 87.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…fa11backed Yes | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked Yes | 58c | 80.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 79c | 71.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…d1c9backed Yes | 52c | 69.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 61c | 67.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 49c | 66.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed No | 47c | 63.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…5ceebacked No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…d8fabacked Yes | 57c | 52.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9de…0dc5backed Yes | 57c | 52.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…834bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…0160backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…1672backed Yes | 79c | 45.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 65c | 42.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 53c | 39.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…11b2backed Yes | 52c | 38.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…2abdbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…e05dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 76c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf741…4bc5backed Yes | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…7f6bbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b0…18b8backed Yes | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…b2fcbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.