NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee753bc2f270b870ef6c7cb32218df51df31bc0e3f97931c8fad7339b3d219f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $624,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $671,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 711 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Grizzlies | 60c | 41,586$24,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,634.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 44c | 21,887$9,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,727.75 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 40c | 21,041$8,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,426.98 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 62c | 19,124$11,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,952.2 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Grizzlies | 42c | 16,723$7,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,709.32 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 64c | 14,473$9,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,253.32 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 47c | 11,919$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Grizzlies | 60c | 10,569$6,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Magic | 43c | 9,526$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.22 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 7,540$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.27 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Magic | 44c | 7,493$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.54 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 7,170$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.56 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 41c | 6,741$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.52 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…5a1fbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 5,869$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 5,241$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.43 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Grizzlies | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 42c | 4,901$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.36 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 4,577$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.95 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Magic | 3c | 4,487$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Grizzlies | 56c | 4,419$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.31 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Magic | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 45c | 3,891$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.49 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 3,544$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.86 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 39c | 3,219$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.43 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Magic | 38c | 3,000$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.97 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 36c | 2,942$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.25 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 37c | 2,791$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.04 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 42c | 2,699$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.01 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Magic | 44c | 2,612$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.53 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa8…59ebbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 2,450$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…d4a3backed Magic | 40c | 2,450$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 40c | 2,441$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.56 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Grizzlies | 56c | 2,421$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.74 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic | 43c | 2,302$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 43c | 2,293$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 41c | 2,241$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.65 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Magic | 40c | 2,107$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.72 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 39c | 2,090$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.1 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 2,054$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.85 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Grizzlies | 62c | 2,050$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Grizzlies | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Grizzlies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Magic | 34c | 2,000$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.97 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 40c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.93 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 42c | 1,941$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.72 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…0d2dbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 1,836$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 1,741$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.09 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,674$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.39 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,500$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.85 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Magic | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…94bebacked Magic | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…79aebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.26 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,217$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.43 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…e441backed Grizzlies | 61c | 1,180$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Grizzlies | 22c | 1,173$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Magic | 43c | 1,144$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.07 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 39c | 1,144$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,065$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.77 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…dca1backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,050$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…aa8cbacked Magic | 40c | 1,049$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.3 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,005$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.15 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Grizzlies | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.31 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Magic | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 41c | 1,000$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.68 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Magic | 46c | 999.64$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 32c | 952.01$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.36 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Magic | 41c | 914.96$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.13 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Grizzlies | 29c | 899.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…4925backed Magic | 41c | 878.41$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Grizzlies | 40c | 849.85$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.85 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Grizzlies | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…3bf4backed Grizzlies | 57c | 799.96$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…c4e0backed Magic | 42c | 782.97$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…7652backed Grizzlies | 61c | 779.1$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Grizzlies | 45c | 775.6$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…b38dbacked Magic | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Grizzlies | 58c | 711.84$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.38 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 699.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Magic | 41c | 678.05$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Grizzlies | 58c | 655.74$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Grizzlies | 38c | 655.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.56 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Magic | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 47c | 631.95$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Grizzlies | 56c | 624.41$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.74 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 43c | 604.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.62 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 588.59$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.21 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 41c | 587.89$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.41 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Grizzlies | 72c | 580.63$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Grizzlies | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…3090backed Grizzlies | 59c | 548.16$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Grizzlies | 55c | 546.7$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.