MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff216e2f0cb86485ebe1e69232d6dc560b58d8e5274cc06be95233320989b83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Toronto Blue Jays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 144,444$63,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,555.36 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 70,000$30,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,800 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…59f4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 38,512$21,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,689.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 23,000$12,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 15,654$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 13,604$8,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,479.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 12,555$8,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 10,208$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 10,000$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 9,785$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 8,835$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.38 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 8,424$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.39 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 6,748$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 5,684$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.98 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 3,664$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.27 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 3,650$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.5 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 3,221$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.35 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 3,037$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 3,023$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.05 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,857$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.08 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 2,801$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.24 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,770$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,480$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.18 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,261$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,192$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.34 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,185$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.78 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,811$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.16 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 1,521$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,403$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,242$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.58 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 940$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 833.93$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.93 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 819$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 741.59$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 736.76$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.34 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 660$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 568$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 504$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 475.56$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 428.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 400$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 393$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 388.01$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 382.2$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.84 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 363.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 344.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 342.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 322.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 291.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 287.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 282.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 266$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 264.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 257.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 234.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 234.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 232.46$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 229.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 208.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 208$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 195.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 78c | 184.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 181.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 178.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 172$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 166$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 164.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 149.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 146.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.