TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$597,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$676,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6d7…f2bbbacked Mavericks33c75,439$24,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,60410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb400…1ed9backed Lakers73c52,963$38,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,561.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers65c49,362$31,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,439.4828341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Mavericks34c36,196$12,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,380.4512938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks17c32,452$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.983,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks32c20,532$6,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,602.211,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks39c18,567$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,272.381,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers66c15,134$9,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.4622458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Lakers66c15,087$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.054533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks35c13,644$4,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Lakers67c13,444$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,444.576873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mavericks34c12,250$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.8229957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Lakers60c8,337$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.736758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Mavericks35c8,080$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.9947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks23c6,978$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.8570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Mavericks1c6,454$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Mavericks34c6,064$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.6528347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks34c5,662$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.3666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks26c5,518$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.081,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks34c5,180$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.481,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mavericks34c5,000$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.541,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Mavericks41c4,875$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.7829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Lakers69c4,525$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.3466732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Mavericks34c4,430$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.8328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks37c3,831$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Lakers67c3,750$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.2643653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Lakers65c3,505$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.9146426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks36c3,297$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.592,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers68c2,990$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.897754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Lakers61c2,869$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.8529643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Mavericks38c2,800$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.9661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Lakers68c2,673$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.371060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers66c2,599$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.0325865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers63c2,560$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.5834852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe266…7f63backed Mavericks3c2,486$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.141618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Lakers65c2,386$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.9534524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks35c2,121$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.5337734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mavericks33c2,073$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.2319149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Lakers61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e26…1715backed Mavericks39c1,997$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.831637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x459e…9931backed Lakers65c1,974$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.431145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Lakers66c1,850$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6291464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Lakers57c1,808$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.646450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks1c1,800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Mavericks10c1,796$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4418518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Lakers72c1,744$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.717256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Lakers65c1,715$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.1413345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Mavericks34c1,700$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.996254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks1c1,656$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.145502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks36c1,597$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.591,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Lakers66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1534747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers73c1,377$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7127163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks26c1,350$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35338027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers73c1,320$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.051,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Lakers61c1,314$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.615365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Mavericks26c1,311$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3444531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers63c1,286$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.6473647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Mavericks22c1,280$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Mavericks41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8244…7a11backed Lakers66c1,166$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.531353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Mavericks28c1,123$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.42045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Mavericks1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks37c999.98$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.3275347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b28…4843backed Lakers63c971.66$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers72c932.87$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.230443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3095…b2a6backed Lakers66c909.24$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.244440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks41c860.67$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Lakers58c844.85$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.116651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Lakers64c843.75$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7517044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed Mavericks34c823$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8260%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x014a…8aefbacked Lakers66c823$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24570153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks35c692.34$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks4c679.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.068783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Mavericks4c679.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.591434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Lakers62c673.73$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7319944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Lakers60c650$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Lakers67c597.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2223554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Mavericks33c589$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.326040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks33c588.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks34c583$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Mavericks13c570$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.23522.9%8 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Mavericks38c551.08$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.414040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb958…c9b2backed Lakers64c542.88$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.442846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Lakers65c514.6$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2318236.8%67 W · 115 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Lakers66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1709450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks36c499.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Lakers64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc7…b588backed Lakers64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2ed…3cc4backed Lakers65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5411340.7%46 W · 67 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Mavericks25c460.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5314034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Lakers63c457$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.836747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Mavericks35c456.66$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Lakers65c440.02$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.55563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Lakers65c438$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.36841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6414…fa27backed Mavericks35c430$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Mavericks33c426.57$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7746342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.