NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec3608b0c50748d61bf0285283c245093b7a1aaeed24dd1369d03fb8afcbd5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hornets | 34c | 22,047$7,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,610.61 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 65c | 15,235$9,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947.42 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 23c | 10,609$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,217.74 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…f0fcbacked Heat | 79c | 9,992$7,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,894.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…621ebacked Hornets | 21c | 9,991$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,892.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 78c | 9,429$7,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,307.92 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 45c | 6,421$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.92 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Heat | 4c | 5,301$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 23c | 4,900$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b33abacked Hornets | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Hornets | 22c | 2,950$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.21 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 16c | 2,641$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 76c | 2,114$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.44 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 77c | 2,063$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.63 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets | 15c | 1,983$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.79 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Hornets | 24c | 1,965$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.85 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Hornets | 60c | 1,552$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.93 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37fe…7924backed Heat | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…26e7backed Hornets | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Heat | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f982backed Heat | 80c | 1,375$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked Hornets | 23c | 1,312$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…780cbacked Hornets | 25c | 1,265$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Hornets | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets | 49c | 1,084$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.22 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Heat | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hornets | 33c | 1,002$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.09 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Heat | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 78c | 984.95$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.26 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hornets | 38c | 981.2$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.56 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Heat | 80c | 955.44$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hornets | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 19c | 822.17$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.47 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 16c | 799.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 77c | 776.32$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.53 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 77c | 704.99$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.03 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Heat | 78c | 699.99$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.74 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Heat | 78c | 693.63$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c35backed Hornets | 21c | 665.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.58 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +7.4wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Hornets | 23c | 618.17$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hornets | 20c | 599.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 15c | 571.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.09 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Hornets | 20c | 521.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.34 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 24c | 500$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Heat | 66c | 484.85$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hornets | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Hornets | 24c | 422.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 24c | 418.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Heat | 78c | 400$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Hornets | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Heat | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked Heat | 77c | 390$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Hornets | 25c | 361.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 55c | 355.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…36babacked Heat | 77c | 355.61$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 78c | 349.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.24 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…e522backed Heat | 80c | 341.48$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 22c | 340.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c8dbacked Heat | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 8c | 313$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87c…de2bbacked Heat | 78c | 307.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…a623backed Hornets | 23c | 300.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Heat | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Hornets | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hornets | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…40ddbacked Hornets | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 76c | 298.93$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Heat | 77c | 297.4$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Hornets | 20c | 274.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 77c | 269.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.94 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Hornets | 23c | 266.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Hornets | 32c | 263.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…51b1backed Hornets | 24c | 262.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…50d2backed Heat | 78c | 255.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Heat | 80c | 248.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…d482backed Heat | 78c | 245.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…0985backed Hornets | 22c | 234.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Heat | 78c | 229.46$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 78c | 225$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Hornets | 22c | 214.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 22c | 206$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed Heat | 80c | 200.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…9c92backed Heat | 79c | 199.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 21c | 198.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked Heat | 80c | 195.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 79c | 190.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Hornets | 22c | 187.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…10a9backed Hornets | 22c | 186.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…26c6backed Hornets | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…b3fdbacked Hornets | 23c | 180$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…b5efbacked Heat | 80c | 178.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…24ddbacked Hornets | 23c | 173$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…d96fbacked Heat | 78c | 169.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…9fffbacked Hornets | 22c | 162.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…febebacked Hornets | 23c | 161.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…8b43backed Hornets | 23c | 160.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…2befbacked Heat | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Heat | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.