TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Suns, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 574 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns41c25,052$10,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,164.2847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Suns34c22,519$7,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,762.376841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Suns26c18,332$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,855.8434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors62c17,850$11,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,756.293,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Raptors59c17,086$10,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,932.4533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Raptors43c16,969$7,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,696.433033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Raptors67c16,197$10,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.5622049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Suns57c16,000$9,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,12047848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Suns54c11,582$6,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,254.5411656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa47f…0602backed Suns51c10,863$5,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,571.511346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Raptors45c7,812$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.312540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Raptors43c7,000$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,017.1947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Raptors67c5,899$3,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.8139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Suns21c5,705$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.8629738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Raptors46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7007860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns59c4,382$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.1420238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Suns58c4,276$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Raptors47c4,220$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.4366153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Raptors52c3,530$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.8870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Suns51c3,000$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.78521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Raptors76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors49c2,690$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.881,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors41c2,611$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.6796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Suns59c2,557$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Suns59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47543653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors63c2,477$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.31,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Raptors80c2,458$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6616563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors48c2,315$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.7830440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Suns52c2,273$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.9928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Raptors49c2,267$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.4719448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Suns49c2,265$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.4980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Suns53c2,250$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors50c1,829$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.0950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors43c1,709$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.8830351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Raptors57c1,541$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.9236751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…e4a7backed Suns32c1,514$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.392445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Raptors67c1,495$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.4811250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…8e60backed Suns54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Raptors51c1,457$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.9516844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Raptors51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.76358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Suns53c1,401$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.531546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8086…22b7backed Raptors47c1,400$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+113.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Raptors62c1,319$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.0226934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Suns57c1,263$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.8219149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns33c1,250$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.241,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors50c1,203$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.5273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Suns43c1,098$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1420447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Suns49c1,011$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.527731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors51c1,000$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3329148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Suns49c999.84$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9236434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Suns22c986.59$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8419231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors51c865.95$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Suns39c845.85$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3334524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed Suns50c822.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.121560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Suns1c800$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Suns50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Raptors50c784.98$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9918354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns45c762.5$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.15,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors48c706.65$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.4261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors48c705$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Raptors50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Raptors78c637.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9727163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Suns56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors47c611.73$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3385347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Suns5c604.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303933.3%13 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Suns4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Suns39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23429747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors52c588$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.242,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Suns34c581.78$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Suns36c572.89$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.15121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd87…f55ebacked Raptors75c520$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Raptors51c517.57$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.614153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Suns53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9487backed Raptors48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d6…6de3backed Suns51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1029…56c1backed Suns52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73f7…cc19backed Suns55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ee…c58fbacked Raptors51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5810…fa44backed Raptors47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2652532%8 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde8c…af97backed Raptors48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf42f…420fbacked Raptors41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2952437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08a…29e0backed Suns52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44c…57dfbacked Raptors44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…d9d9backed Raptors45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc455…d59cbacked Raptors43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2852544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6b…1318backed Raptors49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf4e…09b7backed Suns55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8824…7fa6backed Suns55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bd…5765backed Raptors45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c6…9ea1backed Suns49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90cd…e97bbacked Raptors45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d1…52cebacked Suns59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2952352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…94cbbacked Raptors49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d8b3backed Raptors45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e6…aedbbacked Raptors49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc35…25fcbacked Suns49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a60…2f6dbacked Raptors49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548f…abd6backed Raptors47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2652564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.