NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x497632f48af50d34ba72dd6b0956c492acdb0aa734b9e0fbfcb05ae0a7879c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Raptors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls | 54c | 66,727$36,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,714.26 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Raptors | 43c | 49,400$21,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,464.02 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bulls | 52c | 8,800$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.6 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls | 54c | 7,901$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.03 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bulls | 26c | 7,654$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.27 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 48c | 6,746$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.17 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Bulls | 71c | 5,926$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.58 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Raptors | 0c | 5,635$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Raptors | 45c | 4,475$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.24 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 24c | 4,029$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.98 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors | 48c | 3,809$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.05 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Raptors | 76c | 3,285$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bulls | 5c | 3,100$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.41 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Raptors | 47c | 2,616$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.83 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 15c | 2,210$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Raptors | 48c | 2,102$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Bulls | 50c | 2,020$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls | 55c | 2,004$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.33 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raptors | 63c | 1,990$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.53 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls | 54c | 1,763$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.61 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Raptors | 68c | 1,510$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.79 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Bulls | 53c | 1,400$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.6 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Bulls | 54c | 1,262$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.8 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors | 43c | 1,104$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.53 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Raptors | 71c | 1,004$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.65 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls | 27c | 932.68$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.16 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Raptors | 44c | 786.96$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.26 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Bulls | 39c | 775.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.62 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 54c | 705$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.62 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Raptors | 30c | 684.62$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Raptors | 48c | 609.13$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.26 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bulls | 53c | 567.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.37 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bulls | 2c | 559.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.79 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Bulls | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Bulls | 9c | 500$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.66 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Raptors | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Bulls | 23c | 489.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.71 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 52c | 473.47$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Raptors | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Raptors | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bulls | 54c | 407.32$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls | 50c | 404$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Bulls | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.1 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Raptors | 45c | 390$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bulls | 53c | 388.89$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 27c | 372.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.12 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 45c | 368.52$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls | 52c | 319$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Raptors | 70c | 302.86$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Bulls | 22c | 300$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.27 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bulls | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bulls | 28c | 284.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Raptors | 44c | 274.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Raptors | 73c | 273.56$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Bulls | 54c | 269.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls | 47c | 268.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 62c | 261$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…55efbacked Raptors | 46c | 258.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed Bulls | 56c | 257.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…dd52backed Raptors | 44c | 254.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Raptors | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…72e3backed Bulls | 4c | 246.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…c6a2backed Raptors | 46c | 225.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Raptors | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed Bulls | 56c | 211.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 48c | 209.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…f430backed Raptors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Bulls | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…e1a5backed Raptors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Raptors | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Bulls | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e051backed Bulls | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…a614backed Bulls | 56c | 187.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Raptors | 46c | 177.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Raptors | 30c | 166.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…1aefbacked Bulls | 55c | 150.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Bulls | 55c | 150.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed Bulls | 55c | 147.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…cc67backed Bulls | 54c | 146.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…0c10backed Raptors | 45c | 140.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…f177backed Bulls | 54c | 138.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Raptors | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Raptors | 59c | 135.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Raptors | 76c | 131.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Raptors | 76c | 131.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…92d6backed Bulls | 54c | 125.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…a83fbacked Raptors | 47c | 124.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8f5ebacked Raptors | 46c | 123.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Raptors | 45c | 120.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Bulls | 54c | 119.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Bulls | 71c | 118.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Raptors | 44c | 118.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Bulls | 58c | 118$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Raptors | 49c | 114.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.