NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5eebe713f2b94a1f77f81093e35288ff6c8aabca2033085ee48222bd50e4df8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Flames, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4219…850ebacked Lightning | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Flames | 33c | 7,764$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.96 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Flames | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…51b4backed Flames | 34c | 3,200$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…d939backed Lightning | 66c | 3,200$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Flames | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.9 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Lightning | 66c | 1,505$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Flames | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 66c | 1,497$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.54 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 66c | 1,381$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.76 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…8ee3backed Lightning | 66c | 1,193$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…470ebacked Flames | 34c | 1,193$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…791ebacked Flames | 33c | 1,122$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Flames | 29c | 1,024$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 67c | 891$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.03 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…3605backed Lightning | 66c | 707.88$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…5c40backed Flames | 34c | 707.88$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 34c | 704.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a3e4backed Flames | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…7c49backed Lightning | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flames | 2c | 642.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lightning | 65c | 633.69$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.79 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Lightning | 66c | 569.92$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 35c | 562.65$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Flames | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Lightning | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Lightning | 77c | 418.77$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lightning | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Flames | 33c | 343.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 24c | 308.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 66c | 300.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c98…2f96backed Flames | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6379…5c9ebacked Flames | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…685dbacked Flames | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…697fbacked Lightning | 67c | 263.12$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…7800backed Flames | 34c | 261.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8a…7f5bbacked Flames | 35c | 260.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Flames | 34c | 257.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…fb4bbacked Flames | 35c | 252.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Flames | 35c | 237.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…51d0backed Flames | 34c | 203.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed Lightning | 67c | 177.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Flames | 34c | 177.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Flames | 8c | 176$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…f343backed Flames | 35c | 164.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Lightning | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…84ffbacked Lightning | 67c | 147.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Flames | 36c | 141$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Flames | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 65c | 127.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 29c | 117.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…dc62backed Lightning | 67c | 113.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…0985backed Flames | 34c | 112.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Flames | 33c | 105.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…b489backed Lightning | 67c | 104.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…e44abacked Flames | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…5f44backed Lightning | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Lightning | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…d60bbacked Flames | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…8537backed Flames | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…7064backed Lightning | 67c | 99.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed Lightning | 67c | 98.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…dd54backed Lightning | 67c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Flames | 34c | 90.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lightning | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…45cabacked Lightning | 67c | 89.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…dbefbacked Flames | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Flames | 33c | 83.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Lightning | 68c | 79.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…a6babacked Lightning | 67c | 75.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…b4bcbacked Flames | 34c | 72.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d7…099dbacked Lightning | 66c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…9b7ebacked Flames | 34c | 67.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 67c | 67.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…315dbacked Lightning | 68c | 64.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…ce68backed Lightning | 67c | 63.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…451bbacked Lightning | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Flames | 33c | 59.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b966backed Flames | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Lightning | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cc…260abacked Flames | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f51…91aabacked Lightning | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…5a2ebacked Flames | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe13…6c2fbacked Flames | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d23…e530backed Flames | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…e6ebbacked Flames | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Flames | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…3bc1backed Flames | 36c | 42.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…6fecbacked Flames | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Flames | 33c | 38.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Lightning | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Lightning | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…cbb5backed Lightning | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…b678backed Lightning | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa545…e692backed Flames | 35c | 36.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…2135backed Flames | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.