NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1050a6170c659786c56bbdea9373b301e63a2b3c5ebb1520a5fdde67230c04f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Wizards, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Wizards | 18c | 43,116$7,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,629.34 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 25c | 17,602$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.39 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 16c | 12,618$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.2 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Heat | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 0c | 6,245$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 20c | 5,200$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.97 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 75c | 5,025$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 77c | 5,000$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.89 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Heat | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 11c | 4,347$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 24c | 4,005$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.14 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Heat | 75c | 3,572$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.9 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 21c | 3,503$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.61 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Heat | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f57…cdacbacked Heat | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…3f85backed Wizards | 25c | 2,526$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 1c | 2,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 79c | 2,011$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.1 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 3c | 2,010$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Wizards | 23c | 1,886$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.78 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 20c | 1,792$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.02 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Wizards | 26c | 1,487$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Wizards | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Wizards | 25c | 1,310$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards | 2c | 1,241$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards | 26c | 1,150$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Heat | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Heat | 75c | 1,061$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 75c | 1,029$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Heat | 76c | 1,008$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.97 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Heat | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Wizards | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…eea6backed Wizards | 25c | 999.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Wizards | 26c | 900$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Wizards | 9c | 813.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Wizards | 26c | 781.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 20c | 704.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 79c | 700$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Wizards | 25c | 660$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Heat | 76c | 657.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Heat | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 26c | 636$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Heat | 76c | 627.68$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Heat | 75c | 570$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…4e32backed Wizards | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Wizards | 5c | 557.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…fbe1backed Wizards | 23c | 552.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 76c | 500.01$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Heat | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 79c | 494.21$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a4…dd6fbacked Heat | 78c | 478.21$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Wizards | 24c | 459.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…03f0backed Wizards | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…4d29backed Heat | 76c | 395.72$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…0cb9backed Heat | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards | 20c | 383.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15c…e6e4backed Heat | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Heat | 74c | 365.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 19c | 365$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…9832backed Heat | 76c | 344.04$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Wizards | 16c | 301$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Wizards | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Heat | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Heat | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…e570backed Heat | 76c | 265.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…9cbdbacked Wizards | 23c | 256.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…502abacked Heat | 78c | 256.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…8495backed Heat | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Wizards | 21c | 244.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Wizards | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…b46abacked Wizards | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +79%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6e…5617backed Heat | 76c | 217.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…be50backed Heat | 75c | 213.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Wizards | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…6db0backed Wizards | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed Wizards | 25c | 205.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Wizards | 25c | 202.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Heat | 76c | 189.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Heat | 77c | 188.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf74…6fffbacked Heat | 77c | 185.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…e535backed Wizards | 24c | 183.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a9b6backed Wizards | 25c | 181.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…24f0backed Heat | 77c | 179.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Heat | 75c | 176.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…788bbacked Wizards | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…c4febacked Wizards | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Wizards | 24c | 166.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…1f15backed Wizards | 23c | 166.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Heat | 77c | 165.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Wizards | 26c | 164.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Heat | 76c | 163.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.