NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x346c9425ab549ed7294928159d5498e20a00370470b4f8aac6a7617743ede7cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Flames | 34c | 6,545$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Capitals | 67c | 3,715$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Capitals | 27c | 3,209$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.75 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 34c | 2,969$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.15 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…1b30backed Flames | 37c | 2,018$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…0121backed Capitals | 63c | 2,018$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Capitals | 66c | 2,003$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Flames | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 66c | 1,526$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 2c | 1,330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 33c | 1,296$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.43 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Capitals | 25c | 1,252$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Flames | 34c | 1,239$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.84 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…cac5backed Flames | 72c | 1,206$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Capitals | 66c | 1,190$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 31c | 1,184$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Capitals | 41c | 1,108$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,096$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.12 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Capitals | 66c | 1,093$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.58 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 25c | 1,049$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked Capitals | 66c | 939.35$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7dafbacked Flames | 34c | 939.35$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Flames | 35c | 784.43$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.88 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 71c | 707.84$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 35c | 705$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.58 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 64c | 674.93$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.96 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Flames | 36c | 613$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.32 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Flames | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Capitals | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…deb7backed Capitals | 65c | 524.62$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Flames | 34c | 499.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.48 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Flames | 35c | 499.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 66c | 498.8$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.14 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…eec0backed Capitals | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…84ffbacked Flames | 35c | 419.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 35c | 419.52$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.69 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Capitals | 65c | 415.38$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Flames | 35c | 409.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flames | 35c | 393.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.01 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Capitals | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Flames | 72c | 342.32$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…560abacked Capitals | 66c | 290.21$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Flames | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…10d7backed Flames | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Flames | 35c | 272.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…a3cbbacked Flames | 36c | 247.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Capitals | 65c | 231.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…1b33backed Capitals | 67c | 223.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…2730backed Capitals | 66c | 214.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed Flames | 37c | 211.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Flames | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 65c | 199.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…86a2backed Capitals | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…e2babacked Flames | 37c | 188.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Flames | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfed…9510backed Capitals | 66c | 170.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed Capitals | 65c | 164.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…c723backed Flames | 36c | 159.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…5ea7backed Capitals | 66c | 156.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…c6a2backed Flames | 37c | 154.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…ee57backed Capitals | 66c | 151.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…e156backed Flames | 36c | 146.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Flames | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 35c | 142.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Flames | 37c | 142.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Capitals | 66c | 139.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…f430backed Flames | 37c | 133$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…56a2backed Capitals | 65c | 118.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…b74cbacked Capitals | 65c | 108.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddf…9710backed Flames | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…f049backed Capitals | 65c | 106.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e6debacked Capitals | 66c | 105.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…ebebbacked Flames | 36c | 100.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Flames | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Flames | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…14b1backed Flames | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Flames | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked Capitals | 66c | 83.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flames | 37c | 81.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…7c9ebacked Capitals | 66c | 81.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Capitals | 65c | 80.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…d6fbbacked Capitals | 66c | 79.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…2108backed Flames | 37c | 79.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…39eebacked Capitals | 66c | 73.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Capitals | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…5dfbbacked Capitals | 66c | 68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Flames | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Capitals | 65c | 66.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…143bbacked Capitals | 66c | 65.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ce…2f7abacked Flames | 36c | 65.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…5497backed Flames | 34c | 63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…3bc1backed Capitals | 24c | 62.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.