NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab33493cb17e808c31d5d4329b0abc876872df0d1ff5c1e91ba720653e9e4b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Rockets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $839,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $879,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 685 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rockets | 74c | 60,079$44,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,209.5 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Rockets | 38c | 37,423$14,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,094.79 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 21,807$13,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,504.89 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 21,638$10,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,178.33 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 30c | 21,584$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,105.1 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 20,167$10,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.64 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Rockets | 55c | 17,358$9,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,564.23 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 17,166$8,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,265.36 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 37c | 16,806$6,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,218.39 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Grizzlies | 63c | 15,089$9,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,628.63 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 14,094$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250.21 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 38c | 9,299$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.8 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 39c | 9,126$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.31 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Rockets | 80c | 8,888$7,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,088.18 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Rockets | 41c | 7,945$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.1 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Rockets | 40c | 7,459$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 7,400$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.93 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Grizzlies | 65c | 7,064$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.63 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Grizzlies | 41c | 6,813$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.25 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 5,819$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.45 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Rockets | 38c | 5,533$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Rockets | 45c | 5,256$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.37 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 63c | 4,974$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.83 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Rockets | 38c | 4,949$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets | 51c | 4,801$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.37 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Rockets | 75c | 4,631$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.91 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 37c | 4,550$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.95 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockets | 48c | 4,492$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Rockets | 37c | 4,003$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.1 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Rockets | 71c | 3,909$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.62 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 28c | 3,789$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 57c | 3,692$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.47 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…bd2abacked Rockets | 63c | 3,463$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Rockets | 63c | 3,407$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Rockets | 41c | 3,349$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.22 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Grizzlies | 62c | 3,347$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.77 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Grizzlies | 38c | 3,341$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.6 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Rockets | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Grizzlies | 60c | 3,082$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.82 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Rockets | 28c | 3,001$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…e852backed Rockets | 55c | 2,827$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.45 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Rockets | 75c | 2,663$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,540$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.87 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Rockets | 39c | 2,520$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.39 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Grizzlies | 43c | 2,332$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.31 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Rockets | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.12 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rockets | 35c | 2,203$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.9 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 2,196$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.85 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 2,123$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.34 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Rockets | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 2,045$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.44 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 39c | 2,003$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.94 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Rockets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Rockets | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Rockets | 51c | 1,966$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 38c | 1,956$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.96 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Grizzlies | 63c | 1,882$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,861$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.32 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8914…b477backed Rockets | 37c | 1,749$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 1,716$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,685$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.66 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 1,678$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.56 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,674$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.83 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Rockets | 73c | 1,653$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Grizzlies | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.89 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Rockets | 38c | 1,630$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.2 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,589$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.66 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,572$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 62c | 1,538$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.56 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Rockets | 36c | 1,488$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.67 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Rockets | 38c | 1,443$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 36c | 1,420$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.4 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 72c | 1,382$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.62 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Grizzlies | 64c | 1,337$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.28 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43df…d401backed Rockets | 78c | 1,313$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Rockets | 36c | 1,296$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Rockets | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,261$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.27 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…00aabacked Grizzlies | 37c | 1,249$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 1,211$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.76 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Rockets | 38c | 1,203$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.98 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 61c | 1,135$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.65 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rockets | 35c | 1,124$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.39 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Rockets | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 56c | 1,090$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.41 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Rockets | 41c | 1,075$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.75 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Rockets | 68c | 1,046$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.22 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Grizzlies | 39c | 1,023$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.02 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 1,016$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.63 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…33cdbacked Rockets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Grizzlies | 38c | 976.97$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.18 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Grizzlies | 45c | 960.6$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 945.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.95 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 38c | 931.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 1c | 900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 900$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.