NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd799d1f02d08a374764def23bd81e05820a98b3b69765b6de2c30008174d1e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63f3…dfa2backed Capitals | 59c | 95,000$56,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…aed5backed Penguins | 41c | 95,000$38,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,950 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 75c | 13,654$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.67 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 35c | 13,167$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.8 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Capitals | 66c | 9,386$6,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.06 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Penguins | 41c | 7,677$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.79 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Capitals | 59c | 5,100$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…a37ebacked Penguins | 48c | 4,163$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Capitals | 73c | 3,254$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa8…59ebbacked Penguins | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…d4a3backed Capitals | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 28c | 2,705$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.57 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 57c | 2,393$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.19 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 70c | 2,231$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Penguins | 1c | 2,011$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 40c | 1,988$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.49 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…e3e4backed Penguins | 40c | 1,986$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…1286backed Capitals | 60c | 1,986$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Capitals | 67c | 1,703$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,684$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.65 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Capitals | 59c | 1,503$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Penguins | 2c | 1,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Penguins | 34c | 1,318$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.34 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 43c | 1,262$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.88 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Capitals | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins | 43c | 1,027$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.77 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Capitals | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Capitals | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Penguins | 34c | 886.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins | 31c | 817.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Capitals | 71c | 694$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Capitals | 74c | 616.92$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 41c | 604.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Capitals | 59c | 583.33$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.17 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…56edbacked Penguins | 40c | 580$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins | 42c | 571.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…ba41backed Capitals | 59c | 565.81$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Capitals | 58c | 531.74$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.33 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Penguins | 44c | 525$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Penguins | 44c | 525$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Penguins | 29c | 520$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 24c | 517.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Penguins | 25c | 516.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins | 40c | 474.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Capitals | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Penguins | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Penguins | 34c | 420.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Capitals | 58c | 412.07$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Penguins | 46c | 396.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 43c | 391$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Penguins | 48c | 380$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Capitals | 59c | 346.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Capitals | 58c | 342.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…e26fbacked Capitals | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Penguins | 45c | 330.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Capitals | 73c | 308.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Penguins | 34c | 294.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Penguins | 45c | 293.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 69c | 290.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…84ffbacked Capitals | 58c | 261.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Capitals | 58c | 257.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 61c | 256$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Penguins | 41c | 247.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…5dd0backed Capitals | 60c | 247.6$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…f11cbacked Penguins | 43c | 246.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Capitals | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Penguins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…2730backed Penguins | 45c | 242.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Capitals | 60c | 237$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Penguins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…bf5abacked Capitals | 60c | 223.73$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 41c | 212$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 59c | 199.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…1a89backed Capitals | 58c | 195.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed Capitals | 58c | 192.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Penguins | 42c | 186.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Capitals | 56c | 183.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Capitals | 58c | 179.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…53b1backed Capitals | 72c | 177.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Penguins | 43c | 175.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 66c | 174.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…a785backed Penguins | 40c | 173.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…ab8fbacked Capitals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cde…98acbacked Capitals | 57c | 169.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…b813backed Penguins | 44c | 169.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Penguins | 43c | 169.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Capitals | 69c | 161.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…97dfbacked Capitals | 58c | 152.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…64e9backed Penguins | 43c | 138.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Capitals | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…51b1backed Capitals | 59c | 127.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked Penguins | 45c | 127.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Capitals | 78c | 125.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Capitals | 55c | 120.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 59c | 118.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.