NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4a6c9e737db4fb2f16c4e8c230d7cc1630d472d6906de80e7c59499867b1370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Heat, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d6b…3fc9backed Hawks | 49c | 91,536$44,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,683.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…b1a3backed Heat | 51c | 91,492$46,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,660.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 12c | 22,180$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.41 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 28c | 13,574$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.06 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Hawks | 56c | 11,719$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.64 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 44c | 4,500$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 10c | 4,350$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Heat | 47c | 4,101$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.29 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Heat | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 50c | 3,697$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Hawks | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 29c | 3,404$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.02 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Hawks | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Hawks | 54c | 2,243$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.71 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 49c | 2,192$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.08 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Hawks | 53c | 2,098$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.11 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 45c | 2,087$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.78 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 47c | 1,862$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.93 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Hawks | 49c | 1,801$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Heat | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 50c | 1,671$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.22 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 48c | 1,619$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.14 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 50c | 1,517$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.44 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,515$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.68 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Hawks | 53c | 1,497$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.53 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…8897backed Hawks | 56c | 1,263$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 49c | 1,153$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.97 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 44c | 1,073$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Heat | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 13c | 973.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Heat | 11c | 950$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Hawks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 50c | 894.12$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Heat | 12c | 861.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 45c | 860$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.03 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Hawks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hawks | 54c | 743.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 51c | 704.99$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.21 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 51c | 666.8$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.54 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Hawks | 53c | 660.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.04 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Heat | 46c | 656.8$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.93 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Hawks | 49c | 620.93$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.68 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Heat | 45c | 617.78$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Heat | 50c | 555.28$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Heat | 51c | 525$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 23c | 502.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Heat | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Heat | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Hawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Heat | 15c | 446.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…d2cfbacked Heat | 45c | 443.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks | 68c | 439.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hawks | 49c | 409.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks | 49c | 406.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Heat | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Heat | 30c | 362.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks | 56c | 341.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.56 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Hawks | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 4c | 330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 48c | 324$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Hawks | 50c | 260.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…11b6backed Hawks | 49c | 258.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…9279backed Heat | 44c | 239.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9de6…e6f5backed Heat | 45c | 230.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Heat | 17c | 230.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…bf5abacked Heat | 52c | 224.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…aadfbacked Heat | 50c | 224.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…b756backed Heat | 45c | 224.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…3d50backed Heat | 46c | 222.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 51c | 218.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Hawks | 73c | 211.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Heat | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…50a7backed Heat | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Hawks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 47c | 199.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…fdc4backed Heat | 51c | 198.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Hawks | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Hawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Hawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…60c9backed Heat | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Heat | 31c | 181.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…8912backed Heat | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Heat | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…889bbacked Hawks | 53c | 164.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…6507backed Heat | 51c | 161.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Heat | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Hawks | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…aa14backed Hawks | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…2167backed Heat | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.