NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x500c1ed887a414018f031d7768276e594565840a17370f70a2cc8fcdbd2f0707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Hawks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 56c | 77,493$43,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,149.93 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hawks | 45c | 29,700$13,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,365 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks | 45c | 16,500$7,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,425 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Hawks | 45c | 11,315$5,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.56 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 42c | 10,743$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Hawks | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hawks | 29c | 7,192$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.26 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 43c | 7,062$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.85 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hawks | 43c | 6,985$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.39 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 45c | 6,233$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.9 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Heat | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.91 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 42c | 5,634$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.2 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Heat | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Heat | 57c | 5,110$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.52 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 71c | 4,151$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.98 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Heat | 58c | 3,450$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.13 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Hawks | 44c | 3,407$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hawks | 43c | 3,007$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 55c | 3,007$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Heat | 58c | 2,949$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.16 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Hawks | 41c | 2,623$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.89 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Hawks | 44c | 2,437$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Heat | 58c | 2,143$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.65 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Heat | 57c | 2,122$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.79 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…49f3backed Hawks | 44c | 2,105$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks | 41c | 2,032$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.1 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 57c | 1,998$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.69 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 56c | 1,742$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.75 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 43c | 1,501$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.19 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9a…529abacked Heat | 57c | 1,444$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…b6f1backed Hawks | 36c | 1,377$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks | 44c | 1,280$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.55 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Hawks | 1c | 1,262$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 58c | 1,190$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks | 35c | 1,183$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.87 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Hawks | 47c | 1,056$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Hawks | 44c | 1,031$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.64 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Hawks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Hawks | 42c | 954.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Hawks | 43c | 814.82$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 56c | 806.8$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…2a5fbacked Hawks | 45c | 804.73$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…edaabacked Heat | 57c | 754.39$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 55c | 733.9$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Heat | 58c | 731.6$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.61 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…58a2backed Heat | 56c | 722.34$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.55 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Heat | 53c | 695.12$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.71 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hawks | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 2c | 656$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…6c10backed Hawks | 30c | 636.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Heat | 79c | 629.98$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks | 47c | 622.02$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Heat | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hawks | 38c | 600$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Hawks | 41c | 514.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.62 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cc19backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…d59cbacked Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…1318backed Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…7fa6backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…5765backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…9ea1backed Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90cd…e97bbacked Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…52cebacked Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d8b3backed Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…aedbbacked Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…2f6dbacked Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…abd6backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…e25ebacked Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…98b7backed Hawks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…2627backed Hawks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…245cbacked Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…0b88backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…f7ebbacked Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…4c38backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…d335backed Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e32…2e01backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150d…644fbacked Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…d1eebacked Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…93f4backed Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…ec31backed Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacef…4a51backed Hawks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…be7fbacked Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…20fcbacked Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…2ca9backed Hawks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d88…3221backed Hawks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3446…a4a6backed Heat | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7320backed Hawks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0a…e155backed Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.