TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Islanders, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0254…34b3backed Islanders65c13,406$8,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,652.211376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc25…d781backed Islanders75c4,101$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Islanders61c3,385$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.0285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc624…106abacked Flyers48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Islanders52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Flyers28c2,365$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.2232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers46c1,998$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Islanders53c1,753$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.7121652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Islanders59c1,455$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5513241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Flyers45c1,400$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9725340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Flyers47c1,275$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2231849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Flyers47c1,124$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…050bbacked Flyers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Flyers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2991…c921backed Islanders52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10c…9733backed Islanders52c840$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3979…7f65backed Flyers48c839.99$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Islanders56c825.54$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.565450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Flyers46c815$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.913756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers46c652$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers48c635.96$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders58c632.96$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.613,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Flyers36c600$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2183141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers49c515.52$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.571,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders51c512.9$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.451,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d1…72b5backed Flyers51c475.49$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers47c422.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb00…528abacked Islanders60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Islanders57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1299553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Flyers44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers7c176.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Islanders56c169.34$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.519251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Flyers46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9848149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Islanders55c146.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.229251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a8…92aabacked Flyers44c143.71$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.232240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd141…dfffbacked Flyers44c137.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed1a…9c17backed Flyers46c135.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfed…9510backed Flyers47c124.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.471241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed Flyers46c123.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.842352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5b…9b2fbacked Flyers44c121.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Islanders55c121.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.752055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers44c121.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8464…a2e0backed Flyers44c119.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…b659backed Islanders55c119.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.811250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8d…bf79backed Islanders58c119.31$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.692365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09e0…ba5bbacked Flyers44c117.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…2108backed Islanders54c117.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.651450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17c1…97dfbacked Islanders55c117.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc2…61d3backed Flyers46c115.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd1…639bbacked Islanders57c115.21$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked Islanders55c115.13$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.812373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07df…2506backed Flyers44c113.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6be5…22cfbacked Islanders55c113.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f4…e5f6backed Islanders57c112.71$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.421637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd327…c74bbacked Islanders55c111.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.341060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3789…a08abacked Flyers45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed Flyers47c110.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.921650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x259a…70e8backed Flyers46c110.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c8…6533backed Flyers45c110.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Islanders52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.83438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bef…9be3backed Flyers46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed Islanders55c108.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.621770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x025d…371dbacked Flyers44c104.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…a614backed Flyers46c103.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8287…4684backed Islanders57c102.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.931346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Flyers46c101.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Flyers48c100.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.445954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Flyers44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4427643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc78…4e56backed Islanders57c95.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked Flyers46c94.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.661850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers46c94.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4960549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9043…2465backed Islanders57c93.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb39…7a04backed Islanders57c92.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…21a7backed Islanders57c92.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea4f…3463backed Flyers44c90.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd5…1ea3backed Flyers44c89.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c57…8fb0backed Islanders57c88.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+80.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ca0…18e2backed Flyers44c87.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.451040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe106…e347backed Islanders57c84.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bd…6822backed Islanders57c84.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0728…0c70backed Islanders57c82.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.58875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a59…b88abacked Islanders57c81.51$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf734…c613backed Islanders56c79.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.63729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe85…9cadbacked Islanders57c78.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Islanders51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4318259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc91…2083backed Islanders57c78.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1507…b280backed Islanders57c77.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.351353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…d471backed Flyers44c75.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.391838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Flyers39c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.617054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders53c64.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Flyers46c63.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.076642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Flyers44c62.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed Flyers43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83650%18 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Flyers44c58.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.758445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb432…e207backed Flyers44c56.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.