NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1f736e51360f60ed099cfa5633af32bf2757e85929a2ec1685d8f23ea49bb65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Hawks, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Hawks | 1c | 16,400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Hawks | 13c | 10,422$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 21c | 8,598$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.95 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Hawks | 21c | 8,185$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hawks | 19c | 7,773$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.81 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 13c | 7,310$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 5c | 6,083$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…c885backed Timberwolves | 80c | 5,553$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Hawks | 2c | 5,531$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 1c | 4,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 3,237$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.06 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 3,088$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,914$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.85 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 2c | 2,474$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Hawks | 21c | 2,397$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Hawks | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 6c | 2,150$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hawks | 1c | 2,071$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks | 19c | 1,819$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…20c6backed Hawks | 21c | 1,797$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 3c | 1,747$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 16c | 1,737$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Hawks | 21c | 1,696$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.15 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Hawks | 2c | 1,634$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 17c | 1,631$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.26 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 80c | 1,509$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Timberwolves | 79c | 1,425$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Hawks | 19c | 1,315$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Hawks | 16c | 1,310$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Hawks | 20c | 1,265$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 3c | 1,165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,122$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.33 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hawks | 18c | 1,041$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Hawks | 18c | 1,031$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.56 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Hawks | 14c | 928.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hawks | 22c | 926.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Hawks | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Timberwolves | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 16c | 728$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 542.05$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Hawks | 16c | 535$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…f713backed Hawks | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 20c | 504.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Hawks | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…bfb6backed Timberwolves | 80c | 426.83$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…c395backed Hawks | 4c | 402.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Hawks | 20c | 384$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…02fcbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 347.73$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Hawks | 7c | 286.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…3c9abacked Hawks | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 252.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Hawks | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Hawks | 21c | 247.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hawks | 16c | 242.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Hawks | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…daf3backed Hawks | 12c | 228.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Hawks | 22c | 228.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 219.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Hawks | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Timberwolves | 80c | 185$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Hawks | 7c | 174$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Hawks | 18c | 166.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Hawks | 6c | 162.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Hawks | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 79c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Hawks | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 80c | 101$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Hawks | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Timberwolves | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Hawks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Timberwolves | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Hawks | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Hawks | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Hawks | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…4612backed Hawks | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Hawks | 21c | 88.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Timberwolves | 80c | 83.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Hawks | 18c | 83.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Hawks | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Hawks | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…3d83backed Hawks | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…dc3ebacked Hawks | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Hawks | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 62.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Timberwolves | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Timberwolves | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.