Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d96d985fe51fc2de7224eb6eee79c12e87a5d758b8584105b30f3c9c01539f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 2c | 13,743$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.08 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8c47backed Yes | 1c | 2,670$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…cf36backed Yes | 15c | 1,523$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 7c | 929.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 15c | 599.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 17c | 593.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 15c | 583.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 37c | 583.27$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 15c | 392.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 15c | 335$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 7c | 325.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Yes | 11c | 314.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…58cabacked Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…9713backed Yes | 16c | 283.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 15c | 259.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 8c | 173.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 15c | 140.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 15c | 134.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 17c | 116.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…311bbacked Yes | 17c | 114.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 16c | 106.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 14c | 105.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 13c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 17c | 75.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…592abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…38a1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-01-26?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.