TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Bulls, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Bulls0c47,885$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b6…2f9fbacked Bulls13c15,354$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002825%7 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Bulls12c13,499$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9246131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls13c5,070$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.731,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls10c4,462$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.1965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8527…09f9backed Bulls12c3,545$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Bulls15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Bulls12c3,306$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.666253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Bulls14c3,107$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbfc…0655backed Bulls2c2,686$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593167.7%21 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Bulls13c2,674$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7711428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Bulls13c2,184$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9211019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls4c2,118$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls12c2,037$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.551,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2e…703abacked Bulls14c1,947$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9e…db11backed Bulls12c1,765$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.794434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Bulls13c1,764$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.35916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls1c1,379$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bulls11c1,331$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Bulls8c1,259$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4236514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf371…da1abacked Bulls12c1,231$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.721010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-82.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03b4…af9abacked Bulls12c1,180$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc53f…ebc2backed Bulls13c994.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.34850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Bulls13c942.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc5…016cbacked Bulls13c941.55$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Bulls13c917.11$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2211656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x30e0…5fd9backed Bulls14c721.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Bulls12c714.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.716358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Bulls4c700$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Bulls13c643.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.936643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa854…e9e3backed Bulls13c615.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…1a71backed Bulls13c538.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012642.1%53 W · 73 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4295…ad81backed Bulls13c515.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls13c500$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Bulls9c493.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.43336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a83…1babbacked Bulls16c448.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked Bulls12c416.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls10c408.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Bulls14c357.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4929635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls15c326.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4722…74b4backed Bulls13c307.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016550.3%83 W · 82 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5446…ada8backed Bulls13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed Bulls15c302.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.033125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3968642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Bulls10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Bulls14c278.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4c…8577backed Bulls15c278$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…a688backed Bulls13c276.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614953.7%80 W · 69 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74a1…7d64backed Bulls13c261.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415942.1%67 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…532dbacked Bulls13c258.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Bulls12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bulls11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Bulls12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls14c246.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Bulls12c234.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.178540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c6…b2a4backed Bulls13c230.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Bulls12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Bulls12c208.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bulls14c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a0…4e12backed Bulls12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b98…1b3cbacked Bulls13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512343.1%53 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Bulls11c183.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Bulls12c181.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.823941%16 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Bulls14c178.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9911130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e1…dafebacked Bulls12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…d57bbacked Bulls13c160.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.841233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Bulls14c159.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.062737%10 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Bulls13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1e…7c4cbacked Bulls12c145.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177241.7%30 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Bulls14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Bulls11c135$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8515538.1%59 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Bulls12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da2…ae77backed Bulls13c115.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fa…380fbacked Bulls13c115.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512547.2%59 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5347…36a5backed Bulls13c115.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512752.8%67 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1338…0fa9backed Bulls13c115.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514042.9%60 W · 80 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…1279backed Bulls13c115.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Bulls13c115.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Bulls10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1134246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Bulls14c100.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0211934.5%41 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Bulls11c100.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1138845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef9…0b2bbacked Bulls13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134257.1%24 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed Bulls13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326124.1%63 W · 198 L+1.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6060…2a60backed Bulls13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf645…b8c2backed Bulls14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147929.1%23 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Bulls11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115942.8%68 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Bulls14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Bulls12c99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8893041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Bulls13c78.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1494951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca58…b37fbacked Bulls22c44.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd732…5b9bbacked Celtics77c28.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.48560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…b39cbacked Celtics75c18.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.