NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb351d24bffa23961d81df0f2e47143be3f4d41a8c72128b5465de32185fe77c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $710,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Hawks | 2c | 73,273$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.59 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks | 34c | 35,434$11,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,937.83 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 31c | 32,565$10,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,021.11 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rockets | 79c | 30,153$23,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440.91 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 67c | 29,677$20,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,664.68 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Rockets | 65c | 19,920$13,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.03 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Rockets | 66c | 13,702$8,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.01 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Rockets | 66c | 10,842$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.15 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Rockets | 66c | 10,168$6,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Hawks | 41c | 10,000$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.33 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 39c | 9,946$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 33c | 8,609$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.71 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…3af8backed Rockets | 62c | 8,104$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Rockets | 60c | 7,672$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.98 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockets | 73c | 7,334$5,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.27 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 5c | 6,909$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.66 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Hawks | 33c | 6,900$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Hawks | 37c | 5,803$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Hawks | 33c | 5,700$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.27 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hawks | 35c | 5,200$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hawks | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Hawks | 36c | 4,762$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.29 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 34c | 4,519$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.09 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Rockets | 72c | 4,498$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 35c | 4,419$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.25 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks | 46c | 4,387$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.32 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Rockets | 68c | 4,204$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.21 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Rockets | 68c | 4,108$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.66 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…e181backed Hawks | 34c | 4,103$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 31c | 4,100$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets | 66c | 3,922$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.03 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Rockets | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Hawks | 11c | 3,732$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.21 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Hawks | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Hawks | 33c | 3,490$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.69 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rockets | 67c | 3,199$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.58 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Hawks | 33c | 3,002$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 68c | 3,000$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Rockets | 70c | 2,961$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.98 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Rockets | 68c | 2,934$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.01 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…595fbacked Rockets | 68c | 2,933$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Hawks | 33c | 2,883$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.82 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Hawks | 44c | 2,872$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Hawks | 36c | 2,792$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…5c3cbacked Hawks | 33c | 2,685$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Hawks | 33c | 2,645$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.71 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Rockets | 62c | 2,633$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.27 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Rockets | 74c | 2,462$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.86 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Rockets | 65c | 2,438$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…cadfbacked Rockets | 69c | 2,335$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Hawks | 31c | 2,335$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Rockets | 69c | 2,280$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.77 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockets | 52c | 2,137$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.55 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Rockets | 61c | 2,070$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.08 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 5c | 2,052$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Hawks | 36c | 2,037$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.45 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hawks | 48c | 2,000$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.83 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 30c | 2,000$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.88 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 36c | 2,000$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c66…1cb4backed Hawks | 32c | 1,759$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hawks | 34c | 1,718$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.74 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…4e2abacked Rockets | 62c | 1,698$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.88 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Rockets | 61c | 1,675$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.24 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Hawks | 33c | 1,607$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.49 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Rockets | 56c | 1,600$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Rockets | 75c | 1,469$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Hawks | 32c | 1,464$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.9 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…4bd0backed Rockets | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hawks | 31c | 1,354$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.8 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1905…2c5dbacked Rockets | 69c | 1,308$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…9126backed Hawks | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Hawks | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 2c | 1,200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Hawks | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Hawks | 32c | 1,147$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.93 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hawks | 37c | 1,093$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.28 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Rockets | 70c | 1,057$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.95 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Hawks | 32c | 1,033$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.82 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks | 31c | 1,026$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hawks | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Hawks | 28c | 1,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…4d27backed Rockets | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89f…1d11backed Rockets | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…4102backed Rockets | 68c | 962.25$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hawks | 35c | 950$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Hawks | 34c | 924$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.51 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b57…0518backed Hawks | 10c | 876.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…bf78backed Rockets | 68c | 797$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Rockets | 68c | 796.05$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 65c | 791.57$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.05 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Rockets | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hawks | 19c | 734.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Hawks | 20c | 732.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Hawks | 35c | 724.58$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Hawks | 26c | 699.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.72 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.