NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea452ad23a99dffcf9ce4b233ffa9dbbce670ab6fc9469f631279c0c8856305d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 65,735$36,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,139.52 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Knicks | 42c | 59,847$24,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,912.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 34,462$19,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,853.85 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Knicks | 51c | 24,504$12,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,105.78 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Knicks | 37c | 19,351$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,213.42 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 16,585$9,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,858.39 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Grizzlies | 69c | 13,182$9,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,121.26 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Knicks | 42c | 12,006$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,993.61 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 11,579$6,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.06 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Knicks | 47c | 9,538$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.35 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Knicks | 40c | 8,764$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.07 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks | 43c | 7,991$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.15 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 7,549$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Knicks | 43c | 7,524$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.38 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Knicks | 39c | 6,966$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.4 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 6,888$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.82 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 40c | 6,100$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.92 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Grizzlies | 58c | 5,752$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.98 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 4,660$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.96 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks | 48c | 4,575$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.87 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Knicks | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 33c | 3,891$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 3,718$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.23 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Grizzlies | 66c | 3,705$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.28 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 59c | 3,597$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.43 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 3,090$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.93 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 43c | 2,702$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.02 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Knicks | 42c | 2,676$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.32 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Knicks | 42c | 2,545$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.1 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Grizzlies | 58c | 2,453$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.45 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Knicks | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 59c | 2,184$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.84 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Grizzlies | 61c | 2,002$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Knicks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 1,855$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.9 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…eaa9backed Knicks | 34c | 1,789$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Knicks | 38c | 1,762$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.65 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 1,740$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.52 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,400$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.5 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…4fbdbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 1,373$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.54 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Knicks | 44c | 1,371$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.76 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Knicks | 18c | 1,064$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.39 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 1,060$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.3 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Grizzlies | 64c | 1,025$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.07 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Knicks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 993.85$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.69 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 50c | 891.92$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Grizzlies | 61c | 826.23$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Grizzlies | 57c | 787.99$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.54 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Grizzlies | 58c | 779.5$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.89 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Knicks | 34c | 704.1$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Knicks | 43c | 699.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.02 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Knicks | 41c | 660.19$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Grizzlies | 60c | 650$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Grizzlies | 30c | 583.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Knicks | 27c | 583.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.33 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…a454backed Grizzlies | 63c | 560$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Knicks | 80c | 544.49$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Grizzlies | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Grizzlies | 58c | 530.54$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.02 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Knicks | 40c | 530$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…1133backed Knicks | 41c | 504.27$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…acacbacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…3e0ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…20f0backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…8f24backed Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…da2dbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…29d9backed Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…8668backed Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa651…e17bbacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…782fbacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…d261backed Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…68b6backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…873bbacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dc…3e14backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6738…2ef5backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…4d64backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Grizzlies | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…5e0cbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe430…b763backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…1c3ebacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 54 | 77.8%42 W · 12 L | +12.1wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…73bfbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8880…5554backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…319bbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…f011backed Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…f7dcbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…ebbdbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…538bbacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fb…aa30backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae9…2d42backed Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…8ae1backed Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…0195backed Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…b289backed Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…f2dcbacked Knicks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…bc1ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.