TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets16c21,626$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.3947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50046131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets24c9,455$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.721,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nets17c8,342$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets16c6,392$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.271,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings79c6,000$4,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.911,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Nets23c5,126$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.3334532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Nets16c3,817$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.643450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Nets8c3,250$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Nets13c2,885$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0517047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets27c2,596$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.473,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Kings79c2,507$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7329652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets24c2,499$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.4465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets13c2,080$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.381,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Nets14c1,464$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00db…80dabacked Nets12c1,333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d9…0293backed Nets15c1,210$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Nets2c1,100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.515741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa438…9b9fbacked Nets18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012759.8%76 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets15c943.22$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Kings70c757.48$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2331935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets2c708.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nets16c700$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11248137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings71c612.29$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Kings65c600$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20923835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nets16c561.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3850245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd156…13b1backed Nets28c551.68$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.473568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings65c529.66$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets15c504.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Nets20c501$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.27140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Nets15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7536643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets13c488.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…590bbacked Nets16c458.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.351020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Kings66c454.1$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7325957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Nets15c440$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings76c437.41$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.285,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdadc…15fcbacked Kings57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1726250%31 W · 31 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets15c399.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Nets24c383.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0127735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets17c344.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Nets13c293$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0962349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Nets27c278.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3118632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Nets26c253.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8419231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nets40c252.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Nets36c250.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.23531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Nets15c222.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.43336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Nets14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nets37c203.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0785449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Nets15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Nets26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.78947.2%42 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777b…4ae7backed Kings53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943056.7%17 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4c…d6eabacked Kings53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9587…39a8backed Nets44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1f…bbd0backed Kings57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b42…5090backed Kings57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6539…40fabacked Kings65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d1a…13babacked Nets43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb25d…6ca5backed Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe197…8f94backed Kings53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cdf…560cbacked Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x405b…e576backed Nets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf8…db7fbacked Nets47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09df…ab59backed Kings56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f49…a680backed Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a37…ebb3backed Kings56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068e…f8b6backed Nets35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800d…e0b1backed Nets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ce…d6b4backed Nets46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f9…a490backed Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb89…aff7backed Kings65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb37a…8767backed Nets46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x448a…9e5ebacked Nets45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8a72backed Nets46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x186e…2112backed Nets34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8331…2da4backed Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd83b…1cccbacked Kings57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d2…5e8dbacked Kings67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…3751backed Nets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1944…019abacked Nets34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…1ebfbacked Nets44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882931%9 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcbc7…d3e6backed Kings67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa8e…0f54backed Nets47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…eed7backed Nets46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b3…329fbacked Nets35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x251b…40b3backed Nets47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x369a…d5adbacked Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a5…b2d1backed Kings53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4d…3b01backed Nets44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883040%12 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x286e…ffaabacked Kings66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2992…22eebacked Kings54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03aa…cc15backed Kings56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+71.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16ff…1962backed Nets43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f31…2d48backed Kings66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6218…1818backed Nets46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.