NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaa29f3bfdbe5d4cf27422f2d2b9c55495eac784aaf71a5aff03ce3c669307eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Magic, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7167…4a56backed Magic | 0c | 269,760$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…00aabacked Magic | 2c | 20,857$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Trail Blazers | 79c | 15,161$11,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.43 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 30c | 15,122$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,461.13 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…2865backed Magic | 0c | 12,057$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 65c | 11,632$7,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,603.95 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Magic | 65c | 11,366$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,352.95 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,593$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.95 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 4c | 6,290$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 5,639$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Magic | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 51c | 4,670$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.65 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 4,560$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.95 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 65c | 4,516$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.38 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 4,100$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Magic | 3c | 3,582$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Magic | 4c | 3,508$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…f3aebacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 3,217$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Magic | 65c | 3,192$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 3,028$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.22 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 66c | 2,852$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.32 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Magic | 4c | 2,574$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…80b9backed Magic | 66c | 2,474$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 38c | 2,451$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.43 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7a…54fdbacked Magic | 2c | 2,389$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 58c | 2,220$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.52 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 2,131$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.59 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Magic | 35c | 2,094$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 65c | 2,004$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.41 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Magic | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.32 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…94bebacked Magic | 64c | 1,561$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…8f36backed Magic | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 2c | 1,480$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,462$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Magic | 64c | 1,450$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.89 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 37c | 1,436$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.77 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 65c | 1,410$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.43 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,382$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.01 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,332$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.8 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Magic | 65c | 1,248$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.25 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,150$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 64c | 1,136$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.06 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 1,100$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 66c | 1,100$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,070$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.46 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.97 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 999.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.97 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Magic | 40c | 985.1$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.86 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…bd2abacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 900$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 885.18$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.07 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Magic | 8c | 884.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Magic | 38c | 876.73$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 807.28$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.35 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…9126backed Magic | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Magic | 33c | 790.23$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 63c | 786.72$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.82 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…77e0backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 774.5$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 762.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.29 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Magic | 15c | 727.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 65c | 703$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.95 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 65c | 678.59$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.3 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magic | 65c | 676.92$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Magic | 30c | 648.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 65c | 617.78$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.04 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 611.95$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.24 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Magic | 12c | 586.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 145 | 62.8%91 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 570.74$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.16 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 569.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.37 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Trail Blazers | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 525.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.54 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.