NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6d97bf8e046413c7f52b80d6d6721d9c43aea2e68e3cd83d89968df96295bfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hornets | 13c | 50,709$6,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,808.12 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 19c | 32,255$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.79 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 21c | 11,184$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.84 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Hornets | 14c | 8,880$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.02 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers | 77c | 8,822$6,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.9 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 10c | 7,952$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Hornets | 38c | 7,547$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.33 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Lakers | 67c | 6,711$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 2c | 6,455$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lakers | 65c | 5,896$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.02 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 34c | 5,216$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 33c | 4,550$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.46 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Lakers | 66c | 3,736$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.09 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets | 1c | 3,400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Hornets | 2c | 3,300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hornets | 14c | 3,200$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lakers | 65c | 3,084$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.83 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Lakers | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets | 35c | 3,060$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.99 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Lakers | 65c | 3,054$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.51 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 65c | 3,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lakers | 65c | 2,799$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.75 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 19c | 2,462$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 17c | 2,446$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 2,409$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Hornets | 34c | 2,207$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.61 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 34c | 2,190$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 34c | 2,073$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.44 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd98…e83abacked Hornets | 34c | 1,844$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…597dbacked Lakers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…27a9backed Lakers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets | 35c | 1,512$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.52 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 13c | 1,512$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Hornets | 35c | 1,510$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Hornets | 34c | 1,466$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.41 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9aeabacked Hornets | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aac…46a0backed Lakers | 65c | 1,366$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers | 64c | 1,336$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.44 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Lakers | 65c | 1,169$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 12c | 1,114$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 63c | 1,100$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 34c | 1,026$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.88 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Hornets | 15c | 1,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Hornets | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Hornets | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Hornets | 13c | 930.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…c841backed Hornets | 3c | 927.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…9126backed Lakers | 66c | 919$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Hornets | 8c | 854.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 35c | 838.96$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.77 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Hornets | 14c | 815.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Lakers | 65c | 792.69$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Hornets | 34c | 781$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Hornets | 10c | 672.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Hornets | 21c | 649.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Hornets | 8c | 590$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Hornets | 25c | 578.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…d978backed Lakers | 65c | 499.93$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…4d27backed Lakers | 66c | 486$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Lakers | 64c | 480.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Lakers | 65c | 473.38$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hornets | 18c | 412.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Hornets | 8c | 412.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 23c | 387.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Lakers | 67c | 386.75$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Hornets | 26c | 386.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…2865backed Hornets | 3c | 384.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers | 79c | 340.31$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…cf0bbacked Lakers | 67c | 337.73$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Lakers | 66c | 332.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Hornets | 18c | 323.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…00aabacked Hornets | 20c | 315.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Lakers | 65c | 311.8$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…34e9backed Lakers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…dcc0backed Hornets | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Lakers | 65c | 255.45$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Lakers | 65c | 250.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…f9abbacked Hornets | 15c | 249.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Hornets | 16c | 242.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hornets | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Lakers | 65c | 215.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Hornets | 16c | 210.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…3b35backed Hornets | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Hornets | 36c | 208.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets | 35c | 201$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Hornets | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Lakers | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Lakers | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Hornets | 35c | 185.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Hornets | 17c | 174.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hornets | 35c | 169.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Hornets | 10c | 167.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Hornets | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Lakers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.