Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d07485f3b056e6d4b5d6cfe10e4a33baf00b3f1f899636bd9be357f0360e04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 54c | 17,880$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,733.89 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 46c | 16,024$7,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,702.06 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 45c | 13,367$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.52 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 56c | 10,727$5,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,967.4 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 45c | 6,276$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.35 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 41c | 4,137$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 68c | 3,274$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.27 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 55c | 3,096$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.05 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 2,560$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.04 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 44c | 2,150$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.25 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…d54ebacked No | 46c | 2,076$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 54c | 2,050$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…1d9fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,967$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 53c | 1,938$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.39 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 54c | 1,840$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 48c | 1,716$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.41 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e5…39c7backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156c…9dd0backed Yes | 54c | 1,493$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 55c | 1,362$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.37 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 48c | 1,242$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.49 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 61c | 1,088$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…dfe9backed No | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +180.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 55c | 999.88$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.4 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b10backed No | 46c | 916.35$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 48c | 841.61$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.94 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 35c | 826.58$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 63c | 798.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Yes | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 47c | 640$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.76 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 46c | 557.44$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.15 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fb2bbacked Yes | 54c | 407.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 47c | 406.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 51c | 388.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 54c | 371.37$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 51c | 370$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 50c | 367.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 53c | 354.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 61c | 350$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 45c | 324.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 63c | 315.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…3f53backed Yes | 54c | 282.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 56c | 268.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 63c | 256.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fe…658dbacked Yes | 26c | 250$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 38c | 226$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 51c | 215.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 45c | 198.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 55c | 182.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 55c | 181.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 56c | 180.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked No | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…9ed2backed Yes | 48c | 133.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…bcefbacked No | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca49backed No | 54c | 120.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 44c | 113.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…8ebfbacked No | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 54c | 103.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…abcbbacked No | 54c | 101.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…39f6backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…68f5backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcc…9426backed Yes | 48c | 91.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Yes | 54c | 88.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce14…643dbacked Yes | 47c | 86.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 47c | 82.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…46f2backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…21e6backed Yes | 51c | 79.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 60c | 78.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf450…2ca4backed Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…5962backed No | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…10a9backed No | 50c | 68.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?Yes won
- Will Manchester United vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.